Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39430220›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2024

Expressions of uncertainty in online science communication hinder information diffusion.

Olga Stavrova, Bennett Kleinberg, Anthony M Evans, Milena Ivanović

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Olga StavrovaDepartment of Psychology, University of Lübeck, Maria-Goeppert-Str. 9a, 23562, Lübeck, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6079-4151
Bennett KleinbergDepartment of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University, Tilburg, North-Brabant, 5000 LE, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1658-9086
Anthony M EvansAllstate Corporation, Claims Strategic Design, Chicago, IL 60605, USA.
Milena IvanovićIpsos Strategic Marketing, Belgrade 11000, Serbia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4610-8901

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite the importance of transparent communication of uncertainty surrounding scientific findings, there are concerns that communicating uncertainty might damage the public perception and dissemination of science. Yet, a lack of empirical research on the potential impact of uncertainty communication on the diffusion of scientific findings poses challenges in assessing such claims. We studied the effect of uncertainty in a field study and a controlled experiment. In Study 1, a natural language processing analysis of over 2 million social media (Twitter/X) messages about scientific findings revealed that more uncertain messages were shared less often. Study 2 replicated this pattern using an experimental design where participants were presented with large-language-model (LLM)-generated high- and low-uncertainty messages. These results underscore the role of uncertainty in the dissemination of scientific findings and inform the ongoing debates regarding the benefits and the risks of uncertainty in science communication.

Indexed as

information diffusionscience communicationsocial mediatext analysisuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID39430220
PMCPMC11489878

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.