Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39428460›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2024

Cost-effectiveness of screening and treating alcohol use and depression among people living with HIV in Zimbabwe: a mathematical modeling study.

Jasmine I-Shin Su, Yao-Rui Yeo, Mellesia Jeetoo, Neo K Morojele, Joel M Francis, Sheela Shenoi, R Scott Braithwaite

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jasmine I-Shin SuDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 227 E. 30th St, New York, NY, 10016, USA. I-Shin.Su@nyulangone.org.
Yao-Rui YeoDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 227 E. 30th St, New York, NY, 10016, USA.
Mellesia JeetooDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 227 E. 30th St, New York, NY, 10016, USA.
Neo K MorojeleDepartment of Psychology, University of Johannesburg, Cnr Kingsway and University Roads, Auckland Park 2092, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Joel M FrancisDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, 29 Princess of Wales Terrace, Parktown, 2193, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Sheela ShenoiYale AIDS Program, Yale School of Medicine, 135 College Street, Suite 323, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA.
R Scott BraithwaiteDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, 227 E. 30th St, New York, NY, 10016, USA.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
From 90-90-90 to 95-95-95 and beyond: Optimizing and targeting combination HIV prevention for Zimbabwe and Kwazulu NatalR01AA027976 · NIAAA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BRAITHWAITE, RONALD SCOTT · 2019 to 2023
$3.0M
National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAA) and National Institutes of Health (NIH) AA027976NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA027976
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlcohol use disorder (AUD) and major depressive disorder (MDD) drive HIV transmission in many sub-Saharan African settings. The impact of screening and treating AUD and MDD on HIV outcomes is unknown. We aimed to identify the cost-effectiveness of AUD and MDD interventions in Zimbabwe, and their potential contribution to reaching Zimbabwe's Ending the HIV Epidemic 2030 goal.

methodsUsing a validated HIV compartmental transmission model in Zimbabwe, we compared four policy scenarios: prevention as usual (baseline); implement AUD screening (using AUDIT) and treatment (motivational interviewing and cognitive-behavioral therapy); implement MDD screening (using PHQ-9) and treatment (cognitive-behavioral therapy); and implement screening and treatment for both. Outcomes were HIV incidence projections, infections averted through 2030, quality-adjusted life-years gained, cost per infection averted, and cost per QALY gained. Analyses considered "spillover," when treatment for AUD also results in an improvement in MDD and the converse. Sensitivity analyses identified cost reductions necessary for AUD and MDD interventions to be as cost-effective as other HIV interventions, particularly the scale-up of long-acting PrEP.

resultsAUD and MDD combined will be responsible for 21.1% of new HIV infections in Zimbabwe by 2030. Without considering spillover, compared to the baseline, MDD intervention can reduce new infections by 5.4% at $2039/infection averted and $3186/QALY. AUD intervention can reduce new infections by 5.8%, but at $2,968/infection averted and $4753/QALY, compared to baseline. Both MDD and AUD interventions can reduce new infections by 11.1% at $2810/infection averted and $4229/QALY, compared to baseline. Considering spillover, compared to the baseline, MDD intervention can reduce new infections by 6.4% at $1714/infection averted and $2630/QALY. AUD intervention can reduce new infections by 7.4%, but at $2299/infection averted and $3560/QALY compared to baseline. Both MDD and AUD interventions can reduce new infections by 11.9% at $2247/infection averted and $3382/QALY compared to baseline. For MDD intervention to match the cost-effectiveness of scaling long-acting PrEP, the cost of MDD intervention would need to be reduced from $16.64 to $12.88 per person.

conclusionsImplementing AUD and MDD interventions can play an important role in HIV reduction in Zimbabwe, particularly if intervention cost can be decreased while preserving effectiveness.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisHIV InfectionsMass ScreeningModels, TheoreticalAdultAlcoholismFemaleHumansMajor Depressive DisorderMaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsZimbabweAlcohol use disorderCost-effectiveness analysisDepressionHIV infectionsMathematical modelingSub-Saharan AfricaZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID39428460
PMCPMC11492560

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.