Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39424351›Full record

ArticleBMJ open diabetes research & care2024

National health and economic impact of a lifestyle program to prevent type 2 diabetes mellitus in Germany: a simulation study.

Katherine Ogurtsova, Michael Laxy, Karl Emmert-Fees, Charalabos-Markos Dintsios, Ping Zhang, Andrea Icks

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open diabetes research & care, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Katherine OgurtsovaGerman Center for Diabetes Research, Neuherberg, Germany katherine.ogurtsova@hhu.de.ORCID 0000-0002-3002-1916
Michael LaxyGerman Center for Diabetes Research, Neuherberg, Germany.
Karl Emmert-FeesGerman Center for Diabetes Research, Neuherberg, Germany.
Charalabos-Markos DintsiosInstitute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Dusseldorf, Germany.
Ping ZhangCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Andrea IcksGerman Center for Diabetes Research, Neuherberg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionTo examine the long-term health and economic impact of a lifestyle diabetes prevention program in people with high risk of developing type 2 diabetes in Germany. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsWe assessed the lifetime cost-effectiveness of a 2-year pragmatic lifestyle program for preventing type 2 diabetes targeting German adults aged 35-54 and 55-74 years old with hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) from 6.0% to 6.4%. We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention RTI Diabetes Cost-Effectiveness Model to run a simulation on the program effectiveness. We estimated incremental health benefits in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs using an established simulation model adapted to the German context, from a healthcare system and societal perspective. The cost-effectiveness of the program was measured by incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in cost per QALY. We projected the number of type 2 diabetes cases prevented by participation rate if the program was implemented nationwide.

resultsThe lifestyle program would result to more QALYs and higher costs. The lifetime ICERs were 14 690€ (35-54 years old) and 14 372€ (55-74 years old) from a healthcare system perspective and cost saving (ICER=-3805€) and cost-effective (ICER=4579€), respectively, from a societal perspective. A total of 10 527 diabetes cases would be prevented over lifetime if the program was offered to all eligible people nationwide and 25% of those would participate in the program.

conclusionsImplementing the lifestyle intervention for people with HbA1c from 6.0% to 6.4% could be a cost-effective at standard willingness to pay level strategy for type 2 diabetes prevention. The intervention in the younger cohort could be cost saving from a societal perspective. The successful implementation of a lifestyle-based diabetes prevention program could be an important component of a successful National Diabetes Strategy in Germany.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Life StyleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAdultAgedComputer SimulationFemaleGermanyGlycated HemoglobinHealth Care CostsHumansMaleMiddle AgedGlycated Hemoglobinhemoglobin A1c protein, humanEconomic AnalysisHealth Care Economics and OrganizationsPreventionPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID39424351
PMCPMC11492960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.