Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39418202›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and pancreatic cancer risk: target trial emulation using real-world data.

Lindsey Wang, QuanQiu Wang, Li Li, David C Kaelber, Rong Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  18. The Genetic Blueprint of Obesity: From Pathogenesis to Novel Therapies.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Lindsey WangCenter for Science, Health, and Society, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States.
QuanQiu WangCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Drug Discovery, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States.
Li LiDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1802-9517
David C KaelberCenter for Clinical Informatics Research and Education, The MetroHealth System, Cleveland, OH 44109, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-7855-9515
Rong XuCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Drug Discovery, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH 44106, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-3127-4795

Funding

TUMOR METABOLISM PROGRAMP30CA043703 · NCI · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI Amar Desai · 1987 to 2026
$142.3M
Clinical and Translational Science Collaborative of Northern Ohio, Catalyzing Linkages to Equity in Health (CLE Health)UM1TR004528 · NCATS · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI GRACE A MCCOMSEY · 2023 to 2026
$32.1M
Case CCC Youth Engaged in Science, 09/01/2022-08/31/2027R25CA221718 · NCI · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI Jason Mears · 2017 to 2026
$4.4M
Combine computational prediction, network analysis and genetic screening in C elegans to uncover neurodegenerative causes in Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG061388 · NIA · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI CHEN, SHU G., XU, RONG · 2018 to 2022
$3.4M
An Integrated Reverse Engineering Approach Toward Rapid drug Re positioning for Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG057557 · NIA · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI XU, RONG · 2017 to 2021
$2.8M
Rapid reverse translational drug repositioningDP2HD084068 · NICHD · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI XU, RONG · 2014 to 2014
$2.4M
Construct large-scale phenomes of disease and drugs and develop data-driven systems approaches to understand genetic links between Alzheimer's disease and Neuropsychiatric symptomsR56AG062272 · NIA · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI XU, RONG · 2018 to 2019
$1.6M
Characterize multifaceted interactions between COVID-19 and alcohol use disorder based on real-time analysis of electronic health records of 62 million adult patientsR01AA029831 · NIAAA · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI DAVIS, PAMELA B, XU, RONG · 2021 to 2023
$1.1M
American Cancer Society RSG-16-049-01-MPCDirector's New Innovator DP2HD084068Landon Foundation-AACR 15-20-27-XUNational Cancer Institute Case Comprehensive Cancer Center CA221718National Institute of HealthNCATS NIH HHS TR004528NCATS NIH HHS UM1 TR004528NCI NIH HHS P30 CA043703NCI NIH HHS R25 CA221718NIAAA NIH HHS AA029831NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA029831NIA NIH HHS AG057557NIA NIH HHS R01 AG057557NIA NIH HHS R01 AG061388NIA NIH HHS R56 AG062272NICHD NIH HHS DP2 HD084068
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData on the effects of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) on pancreatic cancer incidence are limited and inconsistent. Here we evaluate the association of GLP-1RAs, alone and in combinations, with incident pancreatic cancer risk in a real-world population, stratified by obesity and smoking status.

methodsThis retrospective cohort included patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who were prescribed GLP-1RAs or other nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications between January 2013 and March 2019 and had no prior diagnosis of pancreatic cancer. The incident (first-time) diagnosis of pancreatic cancer during a 5-year follow-up was compared between propensity-score matched cohorts of patients prescribed GLP-1RAs vs other nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications. Subgroup analyses were performed in patients stratified by the status of obesity and tobacco use disorder. We also compared GLP-1RA combination therapies with monotherapies. Time-to-first-event analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, with the hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval calculated.

resultsThe study population comprised 1 636 056 eligible patients including 167 091 prescribed GLP-1RAs and 1 468 965 prescribed other antidiabetes medications. GLP-1RAs were associated with a statistically significant decreased risk for pancreatic cancer incidence compared with each of 6 nonglucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist antidiabetes medications with hazard ratios ranging from 0.42 to 0.82. The reduction was greater in patients with obesity and tobacco use disorder than in those without. GLP-1RA combination therapies were associated with lower pancreatic cancer risk compared with monotherapies.

conclusionsGLP-1RAs were associated with reduced pancreatic cancer incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Further studies and trials are needed to explore mechanisms and confirm causal effects.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHypoglycemic AgentsPancreatic NeoplasmsAgedFemaleGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 ReceptorHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedObesityRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 ReceptorGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHypoglycemic Agents

Identifiers

PMID39418202
PMCPMC11884861

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.