Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39417110›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2024

Population dynamics of HIV drug resistance during treatment scale-up in Uganda: a population-based longitudinal study.

Michael A Martin, Steven James Reynolds, Brian T Foley, Fred Nalugoda, Thomas C Quinn, Steven A Kemp, Margaret Nakalanzi, Edward Nelson Kankaka, Godfrey Kigozi, Robert Ssekubugu and 8 more

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Michael A MartinDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9689-4066
Steven James ReynoldsRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Brian T FoleyTheoretical Biology and Biophysics, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA.
Fred NalugodaRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Thomas C QuinnRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Steven A KempDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Margaret NakalanziRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Edward Nelson KankakaRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Godfrey KigoziRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Robert SsekubuguRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Ravindra K GuptaDepartment of Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9751-1808
Lucie Abeler-DörnerPandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Joseph KagaayiRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
Oliver RatmannDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, England, United Kingdom.
Christophe FraserPandemic Sciences Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Ronald Moses GaliwangoRakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo, Uganda.
David BonsallWellcome Centre for Human Genetics, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
M Kate GrabowskiDepartment of Pathology, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4451-3436

Funding

Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Anna Palmer Durbin · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
International Center for Excellence in Research (ICER) in Uganda: Impact of ARVsZIAAI001040 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI REYNOLDS, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$23.5M
Circumcision: HIV/STIs and behaviors in a RCT and post-RCT surveillance; RakaiU01AI075115 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2007 to 2011
$9.3M
Epidemiology and Impact of the HIV, NCD, and Urbanization Syndemic in AfricaR01HL152813 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2021 to 2025
$7.8M
ARV effects on HIV epidemiology &behaviors Rakai UgandaR01HD050180 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WAWER, MARIA J · 2005 to 2009
$7.8M
Structural and Social Transitions Among Adolescents in Rakai (SSTAR)R01HD091003 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SANTELLI, JOHN S. · 2017 to 2021
$3.7M
The role of penile bacteria and inflammation in HIV susceptibility; Rakai, UgandaR01AI123002 · NIAID · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI LIU, CINDY · 2016 to 2020
$3.3M
Enhanced Provision of Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention, Rakai, UgandaU01AI100031 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H · 2012 to 2014
$3.2M
Evaluating Demand Generation (Stylish Man) for HIV/Family Planning Services RakaiR01AI114438 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WAWER, MARIA J · 2014 to 2017
$3.0M
Genital Anaerobes, Inflammation and HIV Risk; RakaiR01AI087409 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRAY, RONALD H, PRICE, LANCE BRADLEY · 2010 to 2012
$2.5M
Long-term impact of universal treatment and dolutegravir on population HIV virologic and incidence outcomes in Africa: The LONGVIEW StudyR01AI155080 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GRABOWSKI, MARY KATHRYN · 2021 to 2024
$2.5M
Hard-to-Reach Populations: Implications for Ending the AIDS EpidemicR01AI143333 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHANG, LARRY WILLIAM · 2019 to 2022
$2.4M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009578FIC NIH HHS D43 TW010557Intramural NIH HHS ZIA AI001040NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL152813NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI125086NIAID NIH HHS K25 AI114461NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI087409NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI110324NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI114438NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI123002NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI128779NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI143333NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI155080NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI145682NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI075115NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI100031NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD050180NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD070769NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD091003
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Clinical studies have reported rising pre-treatment HIV drug resistance during antiretroviral treatment (ART) scale-up in Africa, but representative data are limited. We estimated population-level drug resistance trends during ART expansion in Uganda. Methods: We analyzed data from the population-based open Rakai Community Cohort Study conducted at agrarian, trading, and fishing communities in southern Uganda between 2012 and 2019. Consenting participants aged 15-49 were HIV tested and completed questionnaires. Persons living with HIV (PLHIV) provided samples for viral load quantification and virus deep-sequencing. Sequence data were used to predict resistance. Population prevalence of class-specific resistance and resistance-conferring substitutions were estimated using robust log-Poisson regression. Findings: Data from 93,622 participant-visits, including 4,702 deep-sequencing measurements, showed that the prevalence of NNRTI resistance among pre-treatment viremic PLHIV doubled between 2012 and 2017 (PR:1.98, 95%CI:1.34-2.91), rising to 9.61% (7.27-12.7%). The overall population prevalence of pre-treatment viremic NNRTI and NRTI resistance among all participants decreased during the same period, reaching 0.25% (0.18% - 0.33%) and 0.05% (0.02% - 0.10%), respectively ( Interpretation: Despite rising NNRTI resistance among pre-treatment PLHIV, overall population prevalence of pre-treatment resistance decreased due to treatment uptake. Most NNRTI and NRTI resistance is now contributed by treatment-experienced PLHIV. The high prevalence of mutations conferring resistance to components of current first-line ART regimens among PLHIV with viremia is potentially concerning.

Identifiers

PMID39417110
PMCPMC11482865

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.