Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39416020›Full record

ArticlebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology2024

Chronic infections can generate SARS-CoV-2-like bursts of viral evolution without epistasis.

Edwin Rodríguez-Horta, John Strahan, Aaron R Dinner, John P Barton

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. A genome-wide investigation ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Edwin Rodríguez-HortaDepartment of Computational and Systems Biology, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6690-629X
John StrahanDepartment of Chemistry and James Franck Institute, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637, USA.ORCID 0009-0008-7542-8649
Aaron R DinnerDepartment of Chemistry and James Franck Institute, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8328-6427
John P BartonDepartment of Computational and Systems Biology, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1467-421X

Funding

Rare-event simulation and analysis for elucidating mechanisms of development and diseaseR35GM136381 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Aaron Dinner · 2020 to 2026
$2.2M
Methods for quantifying selection in evolving populationsR35GM138233 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BARTON, JOHN P · 2020 to 2024
$1.9M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM136381NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM138233
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants have arisen during the first years of the pandemic, often bearing many new mutations. Several explanations have been offered for the surprisingly sudden emergence of multiple mutations that enhance viral fitness, including cryptic transmission, spillover from animal reservoirs, epistasis between mutations, and chronic infections. Here, we simulated pathogen evolution combining within-host replication and between-host transmission. We found that, under certain conditions, chronic infections can lead to SARS-CoV-2-like bursts of mutations even without epistasis. Chronic infections can also increase the global evolutionary rate of a pathogen even in the absence of clear mutational bursts. Overall, our study supports chronic infections as a plausible origin for highly mutated SARS-CoV-2 variants. More generally, we also describe how chronic infections can influence pathogen evolution under different scenarios.

Identifiers

PMID39416020
PMCPMC11482859

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.