Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39415432›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Associations between prediagnostic plasma metabolites and biliary tract cancer risk in the prospective UK Biobank cohort.

Valerie Gunchick, Guochong Jia, Wanqing Wen, Jirong Long, Xiao-Ou Shu, Wei Zheng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Valerie GunchickVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.
Guochong JiaVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.
Wanqing WenVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-3004-5168
Jirong LongVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.
Xiao-Ou ShuVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.
Wei ZhengVanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37203, United States.

Funding

Searching the blood metabolome to identify risk biomarkers for biliary tract cancerU01CA262678 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI QIUYIN CAI, Xiao-Ou Shu · 2022 to 2026
$3.4M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA262678US National Institutes of Health U01CA262678
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is potentially influenced by metabolic dysregulation, yet previous metabolomic evaluations are limited. To address this gap, we prospectively investigated associations of blood metabolites and BTC risk in the UK Biobank cohort study. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs between 249 plasma metabolites per standard deviation (SD) and BTC risk in 232 781 participants. We implemented exploratory factor analyses and evaluated associations between factors and BTC risk. Associations with a P value <.001 were considered statistically significant after multiple comparison adjustments. In a median follow-up of 11.8 years, we identified 268 first primary incident BTC cases. Of 49 biomarkers significantly associated with BTC risk, 12% were fatty acids, and 49%, 31%, and 8% were cholesterol, triglyceride, and phospholipid to total lipids ratios, respectively. Multiple cholesterol ratios were inversely associated with BTC (HR = 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.65-0.84; P < 6.0 × 10-6). Conversely, a triglyceride to total lipids ratio was positively associated with BTC (HR = 1.40; 95% CI, 1.22-1.61; P = 2.5 × 10-6). Congruently, a factor high in cholesterol measures and low in triglyceride measures was inversely associated with BTC. Multiple metabolite biomarkers were associated with BTC risk, suggesting metabolism has a substantial role in BTC etiology.

Indexed as

Biliary Tract NeoplasmsAgedBiological Specimen BanksBiomarkersCholesterolFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsTriglyceridesUK BiobankUnited KingdomBiomarkersCholesterolTriglyceridesbiliary tract cancercancer epidemiologymetabolomicsprospective cohort study

Identifiers

PMID39415432
PMCPMC12342866

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.