Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39408139›Full record

ReviewHealthcare (Basel, Switzerland)2024

Avian Influenza: Lessons from Past Outbreaks and an Inventory of Data Sources, Mathematical and AI Models, and Early Warning Systems for Forecasting and Hotspot Detection to Tackle Ongoing Outbreaks.

Emmanuel Musa, Zahra Movahhedi Nia, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Doris Leung, Nelson Lee, Jude Dzevela Kong

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emmanuel MusaGlobal South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada.ORCID 0009-0002-5747-8403
Zahra Movahhedi NiaGlobal South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada.
Nicola Luigi BragazziDepartment of Food and Drugs, University of Parma, 43125 Parma, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8409-868X
Doris LeungCanada Animal Health Surveillance System (CAHSS), Animal Health Canada, Elora, ON N0B 1S0, Canada.
Nelson LeeInstitute for Pandemics, Dalla Lana School of Public Health (DLSPH), University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0783-6607
Jude Dzevela KongGlobal South Artificial Intelligence for Pandemic and Epidemic Preparedness and Response Network (AI4PEP), Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7557-5672

Funding

New Frontier in Research Fund- Exploratory; Canada's International Development Research Centre (IDRC); NSERC Discovery Grant and NSERC Discovery Launch Supplement. (Grant No. NFRFE-2021-00879); (Grant No. 109981-001); (Grant No. RGPIN-2022-04559); (Grant No: DGECR-2022-00454).
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesThe ongoing avian influenza (H5N1) outbreak, one of the most widespread and persistent in recent history, has significantly impacted public health and the poultry and dairy cattle industries. This review covers lessons from past outbreaks, risk factors for transmission, molecular epidemiology, clinical features, surveillance strategies, and socioeconomic impacts. Since 1997, H5N1 has infected over 900 individuals globally, with a fatality rate exceeding 50%. Key factors influencing infection rates include demographic, socioeconomic, environmental, and ecological variables. The virus's potential for sustained human-to-human transmission remains a concern. The current outbreak, marked by new viral clades, has complicated containment efforts.

methodsThis review discusses how to integrate technological advances, such as mathematical modeling and artificial intelligence (AI), to improve forecasting, hotspot detection, and early warning systems.

resultsWe provide inventories of data sources, covering both conventional and unconventional data streams, as well as those of mathematical and AI models, which can be vital for comprehensive surveillance and outbreak responses.

conclusionIn conclusion, integrating AI, mathematical models, and technological innovations into a One-Health approach is essential for improving surveillance, forecasting, and response strategies to mitigate the impacts of the ongoing avian influenza outbreak. Strengthening international collaboration and biosecurity measures will be pivotal in controlling future outbreaks and protecting both human and animal populations from this evolving global threat.

Indexed as

artificial intelligenceavian influenzaconventional and unconventional dataearly warning systemH5N1hotspotmathematical modeling

Identifiers

PMID39408139
PMCPMC11476403

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.