Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39383217›Full record

ArticleScience advances2024

The massive 2016 marine heatwave in the Southwest Pacific: An "El Niño-Madden-Julian Oscillation" compound event.

Cyril Dutheil, Shilpa Lal, Matthieu Lengaigne, Sophie Cravatte, Christophe Menkès, Aurore Receveur, Florian Börgel, Matthias Gröger, Fanny Houlbreque, Romain Le Gendre and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Cyril DutheilDepartment of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6891-2389
Shilpa LalUniversité de Toulouse, LEGOS (CNES/CNRS/IRD/UT3), Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.
Matthieu LengaigneMARBEC, University of Montpellier, CNRS, IFREMER, IRD, Sète, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0044-036X
Sophie CravatteUniversité de Toulouse, LEGOS (CNES/CNRS/IRD/UT3), Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2439-8952
Christophe MenkèsENTROPIE, IRD, Univ. de la Nouvelle Calédonie, Univ. de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1457-9696
Aurore ReceveurCESAB-FRB, 5 Rue de l'École de Médecine, 34000 Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0003-0675-4172
Florian BörgelDepartment of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany.
Matthias GrögerDepartment of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany.
Fanny HoulbrequeENTROPIE, IRD, Univ. de la Nouvelle Calédonie, Univ. de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3976-6690
Romain Le GendreUniversité de Toulouse, LEGOS (CNES/CNRS/IRD/UT3), Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0001-7015-8290
Inès MangolteENTROPIE, IRD, Univ. de la Nouvelle Calédonie, Univ. de la Réunion, CNRS, Ifremer, Nouméa, Nouvelle-Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0358-844X
Alexandre PeltierMétéo France, Nouméa, Nouvelle Calédonie, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4319-6974
H E Markus MeierDepartment of Physical Oceanography and Instrumentation, Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5855-4645

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

El Niño typically induces cooling in the Southwest Pacific Ocean during austral summers, usually leading to decreased marine heatwave frequency and severity. However, the 2016 extreme El Niño unexpectedly coincided with the longest and most extensive marine heatwave ever recorded in the region. This heatwave, spanning over 1.7 million square kilometers, persisting for 24 days with a peak intensity of 1.5°C, resulted in massive coral bleaching and fish mortality. This exceptional warming resulted from anomalously strong shortwave radiation and reduced heat loss via latent heat fluxes, owing to low wind speed and increased air humidity. These anomalies are attributed to a rare combined event "Madden-Julian Oscillation and extreme El Niño." Following 10 February, the rapid dissipation of this marine heatwave results from the most intense cyclone ever recorded in the South Pacific. The hazardous ecological impacts of this extreme event highlight the needs for improving our understanding of marine heatwave-driving mechanisms that may result in better seasonal predictions.

Identifiers

PMID39383217
PMCPMC11463258

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.