Visceral adipose tissue for predicting severe acute pancreatitis.

Background & objectives Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a well known gastrointestinal cause of hospital admissions. There is a proven association between the severity of AP and obesity due to increased rates of local complications, multiple organ failure and mortality. Increased visceral adiposity is reported to be a better predictor of severe pancreatitis than body mass index (BMI) in many studies. This study aimed to assess the relationship between visceral adiposity and the severity of AP by measuring the visceral adipose tissue (VAT) area. Methods This single-centre, prospective study was conducted on consecutive individuals admitted with AP. The severity of AP was correlated with the VAT area, as estimated between 48 and 72 h of admission. Results Seventy-four individuals with AP were recruited during the study period. The overall study cohort's mean±SD for VAT area was 128.06±34.22 cm2. The VAT area was significantly larger in individuals with severe pancreatitis (141.01±33.75cm2) than in those with mild or moderate pancreatitis (115.11±29.85 cm2). The sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) of VAT were 78.4 per cent, 54.1 per cent and 0.722 in predicting severe AP, respectively. Interpretation & conclusions There is a significant association between severe AP and VAT. With the worldwide increase in obesity incidences, incorporating VAT into one of the prognostic indices for AP needs to be further explored.