Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39379357›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Evaluating the use of large language models to provide clinical recommendations in the Emergency Department.

Christopher Y K Williams, Brenda Y Miao, Aaron E Kornblith, Atul J Butte

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07632859 (Diagnostic Accuracy of Two Large Language Models Against a Blinded Specialist Consensus Standard in Turkish Emergency Department Notes), which is not on this map. Cited by 72 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
72citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07632859 completednot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Diagnostic Accuracy of Two Large Language Models Against a Blinded Specialist Consensus Standard in Turkish Emergency Department Notes: A Retrospective Study of 600 Cases

TypeobservationalSponsorMarmara University Pendik Training and Research HospitalRan2026 to 2026Enrolled600ConditionsEmergency Medicine, Diagnostic Errors, Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Diagnosis
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

72 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The Utility of Large Language Models to Assist With Emergency Triage Decisions Within Otolaryngology.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
    Article
  6. Searching the druggable genome using large language models.Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Spine patient history-taking: a two phase study of a prompt-engineered large language model assistant.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

12 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Christopher Y K WilliamsBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA. cykw2@doctors.org.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-8867-1623
Brenda Y MiaoBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3393-9837
Aaron E KornblithBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1344-575X
Atul J ButteBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7433-2740

Funding

Accurate and Reliable Diagnostics for Injured Children: Machine Learning for UltrasoundK23HD110716 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Aaron Edward Kornblith · 2023 to 2026
$650k
NICHD NIH HHS K23 HD110716
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The release of GPT-4 and other large language models (LLMs) has the potential to transform healthcare. However, existing research evaluating LLM performance on real-world clinical notes is limited. Here, we conduct a highly-powered study to determine whether LLMs can provide clinical recommendations for three tasks (admission status, radiological investigation(s) request status, and antibiotic prescription status) using clinical notes from the Emergency Department. We randomly selected 10,000 Emergency Department visits to evaluate the accuracy of zero-shot, GPT-3.5-turbo- and GPT-4-turbo-generated clinical recommendations across four different prompting strategies. We found that both GPT-4-turbo and GPT-3.5-turbo performed poorly compared to a resident physician, with accuracy scores 8% and 24%, respectively, lower than physician on average. Both LLMs tended to be overly cautious in its recommendations, with high sensitivity at the cost of specificity. Our findings demonstrate that, while early evaluations of the clinical use of LLMs are promising, LLM performance must be significantly improved before their deployment as decision support systems for clinical recommendations and other complex tasks.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMale

Identifiers

PMID39379357
PMCPMC11461960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.