Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39378245›Full record

SynthesisEuropean heart journal2024

Sudden cardiac death after myocardial infarction: individual participant data from pooled cohorts.

Niels Peek, Gerhard Hindricks, Artur Akbarov, Jan G P Tijssen, David A Jenkins, Zoher Kapacee, Le Mai Parkes, Rob J van der Geest, Enrico Longato, Daniel Sprague and 56 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European heart journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT01114269 (PRE-DETERMINE), which is not on this map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01114269 active not recruitingnot on this map

PRE-DETERMINE: Biologic Markers and MRI SCD Cohort Study

TypeobservationalSponsorBrigham and Women's HospitalRan2007 to 2026Enrolled5,764ConditionsCoronary Artery Disease, Left Ventricular Dysfunction, Sudden Cardiac Death
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

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  14. Observational
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  17. A review on wearable cardioverter-defibrillators in clinical practice for sudden cardiac death prevention and heart failure management.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

66 authors.

Niels PeekDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Gerhard HindricksDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité, Campus Charité Mitte, Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0132-0773
Artur AkbarovDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Jan G P TijssenClinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The AMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
David A JenkinsDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Zoher KapaceeDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Le Mai ParkesDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Rob J van der GeestDepartment of Radiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9084-5597
Enrico LongatoDepartment of Information Engineering, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5940-645X
Daniel SpragueSpectra Analytics, London, UK.
Youssef TalebSpectra Analytics, London, UK.
Marcus OngSpectra Analytics, London, UK.
Christopher A MillerDivision of Cardiovascular Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.
Alireza Sepehri ShamlooDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité, Campus Charité Mitte, Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4894-8664
Christine AlbertDepartment of Cardiology, Smidt Heart Institute, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Petra BarthelKlinikum rechts der Isar, Technische Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Serge BovedaCardiology-Heart Rhythm Management Department, Clinique Pasteur, Toulouse, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1280-7042
Frieder BraunschweigDepartment of Cardiology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Jens Brock JohansenDepartment of Cardiology, Department of Cardiology Odense, Odense University Hospital, Syddanmark, Denmark.
Nancy CookBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Christian de ChillouDépartement de Cardiologie, CHRU de Nancy, Nancy, France.
Petra EldersDepartment of General Practice and Elderly Care, Medicine, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jonas FaxénDepartment of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Tim FriedeDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5347-7441
Laura FusiniDepartment of Cardiovascular Imaging, Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
Chris P GaleLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Jiri JarkovskyInstitute of Biostatistics and Analyses, Faculty of Medicine, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Xavier JouvenMedical and Surgical Department of Cardiology, Georges Pompidou European Hospital, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4439-0093
Juhani JunttilaResearch Unit of Internal Medicine, Medical Research Center Oulu, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-8896-1281
Josef KautznerInstitute of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University Hospital Olomouc, Moravia, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-1632-6182
Antti KiviniemiResearch Unit of Internal Medicine, Medical Research Center Oulu, University of Oulu and Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-1160-493X
Valentina KutyifaUniversity of Rochester Medical Center, Clinical Cardiovascular Research Center, Rochester, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0016-289X
Christophe LeclercqService de Cardiologie et Maladies Vasculaires, CHU Pontchaillou, Rennes, France.
Daniel C LeeSchool of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg, Chicago, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9447-4175
Jill LeighBoston Scientific Corporation, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Radosław LenarczykDivision of Medical Sciences in Zabrze, Department of Cardiology, Congenital Heart Diseases and Electrotherapy, Silesian Center of Heart Diseases, The Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland.
Francisco LeyvaAston Medical School, Aston University, Aston Triangle, Birmingham, UK.
Michael MaengDepartment of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4310-6433
Andrea MancaCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Eloi MarijonDivision of Cardiology, European Georges Pompidou Hospital, Paris, France.
Ursula MarschallBarmer, Germany.
Jose Luis MerinoArrhythmia and Robotic Electrophysiology Unit, La Paz University Hospital, Madrid, Spain.
Lluis MontHospital Clinic, University of Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8115-5906
Jens Cosedis NielsenDepartment of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-0631-0010
Thomas OlsenDepartment of Cardiology, Department of Cardiology Odense, Odense University Hospital, Syddanmark, Denmark.
Julie PesterBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Gianluca PontoneDepartment of Cardiovascular Imaging, Centro Cardiologico Monzino IRCCS, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1339-6679
Ivo RocaHospital Clinic, University of Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Georg SchmidtKlinikum rechts der Isar, Technische Universität München, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3692-5243
Peter J SchwartzCenter for Cardiac Arrhythmias of Genetic Origin, IRCCS Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Milan, Italy.
Christian SticherlingDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, University Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-8428-7050
Mahmoud SuleimanDepartment of Cardiology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel.
Milos TaborskyDepartment of Internal Medicine I-Cardiology, Olomouc University Hospital, Moravia, Czech Republic.
Hanno L TanDepartment of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology, Amsterdam University Medical Center AMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Jacob Tfelt-HansenDepartment of Cardiology, The Heart Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-3895-9316
Holger ThieleHeart Center Leipzig at the University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4495-4597
Gordon F TomaselliAlbert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY.
Tom VerstraelenDepartment of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Manickavasagar VinayagamoorthyBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Kevin Kris Warnakula OlesenDepartment of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Arthur WildeDepartment of Cardiology, Amsterdam UMC location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Rik WillemsDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Katherine C WuDivision of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Markus ZabelDepartment of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Center, University Medical Center Goettingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0895-4602
Glen P MartinDivision of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Nikolaos DagresDepartment of Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité, Campus Charité Mitte, Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0323-4956

Funding

PRE-DETERMINE: Advancing Sudden Arrhythmic Death Prediction in Coronary Artery Disease in the Absence of Severe Systolic DysfunctionR01HL165840 · NHLBI · CEDARS-SINAI MEDICAL CENTER · PI CHRISTINE M ALBERT, Susan Cheng · 2023 to 2026
$6.0M
European Union's Horizon 2020 No. 847999NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL165840
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsRisk stratification of sudden cardiac death after myocardial infarction and prevention by defibrillator rely on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Improved risk stratification across the whole LVEF range is required for decision-making on defibrillator implantation.

methodsThe analysis pooled 20 data sets with 140 204 post-myocardial infarction patients containing information on demographics, medical history, clinical characteristics, biomarkers, electrocardiography, echocardiography, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Separate analyses were performed in patients (i) carrying a primary prevention cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF ≤ 35% [implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) patients], (ii) without cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF ≤ 35% (non-ICD patients ≤ 35%), and (iii) without cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF > 35% (non-ICD patients >35%). Primary outcome was sudden cardiac death or, in defibrillator carriers, appropriate defibrillator therapy. Using a competing risk framework and systematic internal-external cross-validation, a model using LVEF only, a multivariable flexible parametric survival model, and a multivariable random forest survival model were developed and externally validated. Predictive performance was assessed by random effect meta-analysis.

resultsThere were 1326 primary outcomes in 7543 ICD patients, 1193 in 25 058 non-ICD patients ≤35%, and 1567 in 107 603 non-ICD patients >35% during mean follow-up of 30.0, 46.5, and 57.6 months, respectively. In these three subgroups, LVEF poorly predicted sudden cardiac death (c-statistics between 0.50 and 0.56). Considering additional parameters did not improve calibration and discrimination, and model generalizability was poor.

conclusionsMore accurate risk stratification for sudden cardiac death and identification of low-risk individuals with severely reduced LVEF or of high-risk individuals with preserved LVEF was not feasible, neither using LVEF nor using other predictors.

Indexed as

Death, Sudden, CardiacDefibrillators, ImplantableMyocardial InfarctionStroke VolumeElectrocardiographyHumansRisk AssessmentImplantable cardioverter-defibrillatorMyocardial infarctionPrimary preventionSudden cardiac death

Identifiers

PMID39378245
PMCPMC11560274

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