Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39374391›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Innovations through crop switching happen on the diverse margins of US agriculture.

Matthew M Kling, Christopher T Brittain, Gillian L Galford, Timothy M Waring, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Matthew P Dube, Hossein Sabzian, Nicholas J Gotelli, Brian J McGill, Meredith T Niles

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Matthew M KlingDepartment of Biology, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0000-0001-9073-4240
Christopher T BrittainDepartment of Nutrition and Food Sciences, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0009-0009-2891-6567
Gillian L GalfordGund Institute for Environment, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0000-0003-2192-7385
Timothy M WaringSchool of Economics, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469.ORCID 0000-0001-7364-1130
Laurent Hébert-DufresneDepartment of Computer Science, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0000-0002-0008-3673
Matthew P DubeDepartment of Computer Information Systems, University of Maine at Augusta, Augusta, ME 04330.ORCID 0000-0002-7104-9982
Hossein SabzianSchool of Economics, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469.ORCID 0009-0003-5723-2769
Nicholas J GotelliDepartment of Biology, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0000-0002-5409-7456
Brian J McGillMitchell Center for Sustainability Solutions, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469.ORCID 0000-0002-0850-1913
Meredith T NilesGund Institute for Environment, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405.ORCID 0000-0002-8323-1351

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) 2019470
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Crop switching, in which farmers grow a crop that is novel to a given field, can help agricultural systems adapt to changing environmental, cultural, and market forces. Yet while regional crop production trends receive significant attention, relatively little is known about the local-scale crop switching that underlies these macrotrends. We characterized local crop-switching patterns across the United States using the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) Cropland Data Layer, an annual time series of high resolution (30 m pixel size) remote-sensed cropland data from 2008 to 2022. We found that at multiple spatial scales, crop switching was most common in sparsely cultivated landscapes and in landscapes with high crop diversity, whereas it was low in homogeneous, highly agricultural areas such as the Midwestern corn belt, suggesting a number of potential social and economic mechanisms influencing farmers' crop choices. Crop-switching rates were high overall, occurring on more than 6% of all US cropland in the average year. Applying a framework that classified crop switches based on their temporal novelty (crop introduction versus discontinuation), spatial novelty (locally divergent versus convergent switching), and categorical novelty (transformative versus incremental switching), we found distinct spatial patterns for these three novelty dimensions, indicating a dynamic and multifaceted set of cropping changes across US farms. Collectively, these results suggest that innovation through crop switching is playing out very differently in various parts of the country, with potentially significant implications for the resilience of agricultural systems to changes in climate and other systemic trends.

Indexed as

AgricultureCrops, AgriculturalCrop ProductionUnited StatesUnited States Department of Agricultureagriculturecrop diversitycrop switchingland use change

Identifiers

PMID39374391
PMCPMC11494323

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.