Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39370089›Full record

SynthesisClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2025

Neoplastic Progression Risk in Females With Barrett's Esophagus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Patient Data.

Pauline A Zellenrath, Laurelle van Tilburg, Roos E Pouw, Rena Yadlapati, Yonne Peters, Michael B Ujiki, Prashanthi N Thota, Norihisa Ishimura, Stephen J Meltzer, Noam Peleg and 6 more

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Pauline A ZellenrathDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Laurelle van TilburgDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Roos E PouwDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Amsterdam University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Rena YadlapatiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, UC San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, California.
Yonne PetersDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Michael B UjikiDepartment of Surgery, NorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois.
Prashanthi N ThotaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, Ohio.
Norihisa IshimuraSecond Department of Internal Medicine, Shimane University Faculty of Medicine, Shimane, Japan.
Stephen J MeltzerDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Noam PelegDevision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Rabin Medical Center, Petah-Tikva, Israel.
Won-Tak ChoiDepartment of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California.
John V ReynoldsDepartment of Surgery, Trinity Center for Health Sciences, St. James's Hospital, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Alexandros D PolydoridesDepartment of Pathology, Molecular and Cell Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Arjun D KochDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Judith HoningDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Manon C W SpaanderDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands. Electronic address: v.spaander@erasmusmc.nl.

Funding

The MVP Trial: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Mechanism Guided vs PPI Strategy for Laryngopharyngeal RefluxR01DK139089 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Rena Hiren Yadlapati · 2024 to 2026
$2.0M
Mechanism Guided Therapy for Laryngopharyngeal RefluxK23DK125266 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI YADLAPATI, RENA HIREN · 2021 to 2025
$963k
NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK125266NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK139089
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsFemales with Barrett's esophagus (BE) have a lower risk of neoplastic progression than males, but sufficiently powered risk analyses are lacking. This systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data (IPD) aimed to provide more robust evidence on neoplastic progression risk in females.

methodsWe conducted a systematic literature search of 3 electronic databases (Medline, Embase, Google Scholar) from inception until August 2023. Eligible studies (1) reported original data on progression from nondysplastic BE, indefinite for dysplasia, or low-grade dysplasia to high-grade dysplasia or esophageal adenocarcinoma; and (2) included female and male patients. IPD were quality controlled by 2 independent reviewers. The primary outcome was the association between sex and neoplastic progression risk, adjusted for risk factors using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Secondary outcomes were sex differences in time to progression and annual progression rate.

resultsIPD were obtained from 11 of 66 eligible studies, including 2196 (31%) females. Neoplastic progression risk was lower in females (hazard ratio for males vs females, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.82) after adjusting for age, smoking, medication use, hiatal hernia, BE length, and baseline pathology. The annual progression rate was 0.88% in females vs 1.29% in males. Time to progression was similar in both sexes: 3.7 years (interquartile range, 2.1-7.7 years) in females and 4.2 years (interquartile range, 2.0-8.1 years) in males.

conclusionAlthough females had a lower neoplastic progression risk, sex differences were smaller than previously reported, and time to progression was similar for both sexes. Future research should focus on other factors than sex to identify low- and high-risk BE patients.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaBarrett EsophagusEsophageal NeoplasmsDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsSex FactorsBEIndividual Patient DataNeoplastic ProgressionSex

Identifiers

PMID39370089
PMCPMC13222059

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.