Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39369091›Full record

ArticleGastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association2025

Circulating tumor DNA predicts recurrence and survival in patients with resectable gastric and gastroesophageal junction cancer.

Cecilie Riis Iden, Salah Mohammad Mustafa, Nadia Øgaard, Tenna Henriksen, Sarah Østrup Jensen, Lise Barlebo Ahlborn, Kristian Egebjerg, Lene Baeksgaard, Rajendra Singh Garbyal, Mette Kjølhede Nedergaard and 3 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07565857 (SIGNAL GEC-101), which is not on this map. Cited by 33 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07565857 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

SIGNAL GEC-101: Signatera-Guided De-escalation of Adjuvant Therapy in Resectable Stage II-IVa Gastric/Gastric-Esophageal Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorNatera, Inc.Ran2026 to 2034Enrolled1,000ConditionsGastric-Esophageal CancerArmsSignatera Genome ultra-sensitive ctDNA blood test
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  13. Circulating tumor DNA-guided response evaluation in patients with previously treated gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2026
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  15. Assessment of methylated BCAT1 and IKZF1 circulating tumor DNA as a prognostic biomarker in esophagogastric adenocarcinomas.Diseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Cecilie Riis Iden *Department of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Salah Mohammad Mustafa *Department of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens, Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Nadia ØgaardDepartment of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens, Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Tenna HenriksenDepartment of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens, Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Sarah Østrup JensenDepartment of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens, Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Lise Barlebo AhlbornDepartment of Genomic Medicine, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Kristian EgebjergDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lene BaeksgaardDepartment of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Rajendra Singh GarbyalDepartment of Pathology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Mette Kjølhede NedergaardDepartment of Pathology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Michael Patrick AchiamDepartment of Surgery & Transplantation, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Claus Lindbjerg Andersen *Department of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Palle Juul-Jensens, Boulevard 99, 8200, Aarhus N, Denmark.
Morten Mau-Sørensen *Department of Oncology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark. mms@rh.regionh.dk.ORCID 0000-0003-2235-1250

Funding

Dansk Kræftforsknings Fond DKF-2021-104 - (704)DCCC ctDNA Research Center - The Danish Research Center for Circulating Tumor DNA Guided Cancer Management 200414-10DCCC ctDNA Research Center - The Danish Research Center for Circulating Tumor DNA Guided Cancer Management 20220926_3Kræftens Bekæmpelse R257-A14700Kræftens Bekæmpelse R320-A18521Novo Nordisk Fonden NNF22OC0074415Sygeforsikring Danmark 2020-0412
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGastric and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancer represents a significant global health challenge, with high recurrence rates and poor survival outcomes. This study investigates circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a biomarker for assessing recurrence risk in patients with resectable gastric and GEJ adenocarcinomas (AC).

methodsPatients with resectable gastric and GEJ AC, undergoing perioperative chemotherapy and surgery, were prospectively enrolled. Serial plasma samples were collected at baseline, after one cycle of chemotherapy, after preoperative chemotherapy, and after surgery. ctDNA was assessed by a ddPCR test (TriMeth), which targets the gastrointestinal cancer-specific methylation patterns of the genes C9orf50, KCNQ5, and CLIP4.

resultsctDNA analysis was performed on 229 plasma samples from 86 patients. At baseline, ctDNA was detected in 56% of patients, which decreased to 37% following one cycle of chemotherapy, 25% after preoperative chemotherapy and 15% after surgical resection. The presence of ctDNA after one cycle of chemotherapy was associated with reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR = 2.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-4.85, p = 0.005) and overall survival (OS) (HR = 2.23, 95% CI 1.07-4.62, p = 0.032). Similarly, ctDNA after surgery was associated with significantly shorter RFS (HR = 6.22, 95% CI 2.39-16.2, p < 0.001) and OS (HR = 6.37, 95% CI 2.10-19.3, p = 0.001). Multivariable regression analysis confirmed ctDNA after surgery as an independent prognostic factor (p < 0.001).

conclusionctDNA analysis has the potential to identify patients at elevated risk of recurrence, thus providing personalized treatment strategies for patients with resectable gastric and GEJ cancer. Further validation in larger cohorts and ctDNA-guided interventions are needed for future clinical use.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophagogastric JunctionNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalStomach NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNACirculating tumor DNACurative treatmentDNA methylationGastroesophageal cancerTumor biomarkers

Identifiers

PMID39369091
PMCPMC11706848

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.