Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39368807›Full record

ArticleBlood advances2024

Novel machine learning technique further clarifies unrelated donor selection to optimize transplantation outcomes.

Stephen R Spellman, Rodney Sparapani, Martin Maiers, Bronwen E Shaw, Purushottam Laud, Caitrin Bupp, Meilun He, Steven M Devine, Brent R Logan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood advances, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  4. Chronic graft-versus-host disease.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Stephen R SpellmanCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.
Rodney SparapaniDivision of Biostatistics, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI.ORCID 0000-0002-7780-6825
Martin MaiersCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-0198-2064
Bronwen E ShawDepartment of Medicine, Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI.
Purushottam LaudCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.
Caitrin BuppCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0003-0766-1162
Meilun HeCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.
Steven M DevineCenter for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, NMDP, Minneapolis, MN.
Brent R LoganDivision of Biostatistics, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI.

Funding

Data Resource for Analyzing Blood &Marrow TransplantsU24CA076518 · NCI · MEDICAL COLLEGE OF WISCONSIN · PI Amy M Moskop, Bronwen Shaw · 1998 to 2026
$105.2M
NTP INFORMATION SYSTEMS SUPPORT27305C0011 · NIEHS · Z-TECH CORPORATION · 2007 to 2009
$4.3M
PROVIDE RABBITS, RATS, MICE, HAMSTERS, GERBILS, GUINEA PIGS27307C0011 · NIEHS · PI BOLEN, WAYNE · 2007 to 2007
$500k
NCI NIH HHS U24 CA076518NIEHS NIH HHS 27305C0011NIEHS NIH HHS 27307C0011NIEHS NIH HHS 27398C0011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

abstractWe investigated the impact of donor characteristics on outcomes in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients using a novel machine learning approach, the Nonparametric Failure Time Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (NFT BART). NFT BART models were trained on data from 10 016 patients who underwent a first HLA-A, B, C, and DRB1 matched unrelated donor (MUD) HCT between 2016 and 2019, reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, then validated on an independent cohort of 1802 patients. The NFT BART models were adjusted based on recipient, disease, and transplant variables. We defined a clinically meaningful impact on overall survival (OS) or event-free survival (EFS; survival without relapse, graft failure, or moderate to severe chronic graft-versus-host disease) as >1% difference in predicted outcome at 3 years. Characteristics with <1% impact (within a zone of indifference) were not considered to be clinically relevant. Donor cytomegalovirus, parity, HLA-DQB1, and HLA-DPB1 T-cell epitope matching fell within the zone of indifference. The only significant donor factor that associated with OS was age, in which, compared with 18-year-old donors, donors aged ≥31 years old were associated with lower OS. Both donor age (≤32 years) and use of a male donor, regardless of recipient sex, improved EFS. We, therefore, recommend selecting the earliest available donor within the 18 to 30 years age range for HCT to optimize OS. If several donors in the 18 to 30 years age range are available, a male donor may be chosen to optimize EFS.

Indexed as

Donor SelectionHematopoietic Stem Cell TransplantationMachine LearningUnrelated DonorsAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolFemaleGraft vs Host DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedTransplantation, HomologousTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID39368807
PMCPMC11652765

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.