ArticleScientific reports2024
Projected changes in heatwaves over Central and South America using high-resolution regional climate simulations.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Projected heatwave hazards in an eastern Amazonian metropolis under contrasting CMIP6 scenarios.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Emerging heat stress patterns across India under future climate scenarios.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Emerging changes in lake temperature extremes and variability in South America.Climatic change · 2026Article
- Individual and city-level variations in heat-related road traffic deaths in Latin America.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Individual and city-level variations in heat-related road traffic deaths in Latin America.Nature cities · 2025Article
- Future temperature-related mortality in Latin American cities under climate change and population scenarios.Environment international · 2025Article
- Global burden of ischemic heart disease in older adult populations linked to non-optimal temperatures: past (1990-2021) and future (2022-2050) analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Shocks and health care in Latin America and the Caribbean.Frontiers in public health · 2025Review
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Heatwaves (HWs) pose a severe threat to human and ecological systems. Here we assess the projected changes in heatwaves over Latin America using bias corrected high-resolution regional climate simulations under two Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs). Heatwaves are projected to be more frequent, long-lasting, and intense in the mid-century under both RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios, with severe increases under the RCP8.5 scenario. Even under the low emissions scenario of RCP2.6, the frequency of heatwaves doubles over most of the region. A three- to tenfold rise in population exposure to heatwave days is projected over Central and South America, with climate change playing a dominant role in driving these changes. Results show that following the low emission pathway would reduce 57% and 50% of heatwave exposure for Central and South American regions respectively, highlighting the need to control anthropogenic emissions and implement sustainable practices.
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Registered trials
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