Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39365388›Full record

ArticleEndocrine2025

Serum uric acid trajectories and the risk of cardiovascular disease: a longitudinal association and pathway analysis.

Lulu Chu, Xue Tian, Shuohua Chen, Xue Xia, Qin Xu, Yijun Zhang, Shouling Wu, Anxin Wang

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Endocrine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Lulu Chu *Department of Endocrinology, Kailuan Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China.
Xue Tian *Department of Neuroepidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Shuohua ChenDepartment of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China.
Xue XiaDepartment of Neuroepidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Qin XuDepartment of Neuroepidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yijun ZhangDepartment of Neuroepidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Shouling WuDepartment of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China. drwusl@163.com.
Anxin WangDepartment of Neuroepidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. wanganxin@bjtth.org.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC3600600
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAge-specifically longitudinal associations and potential pathways between serum uric acid (SUA) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remained unclear. This study aimed to explore SUA trajectories in different age populations and to determine their associations and potential pathways with incident CVD.

methodsThis prospective cohort included 41,367 participants from the Kailuan study, including 30,938 participants aged <55 years and 10,419 participants aged ≥55. The SUA trajectories during year 2006-2012 were identified by latent class growth models.

resultsThree SUA trajectories were identified in the overall, aged <55 and aged ≥55 years participants, as "low-stable" (51.9%, 54.4%, and 43.3%), "moderate-stable" (39.0%, 36.9%, and 45.6%), and "high-stable" (9.1%, 9.7%, and 11.1%), respectively. During a median follow-up of 6.75 years, incident CVD occurred in 2302 participants (5.56%). Overall, a high-stable trajectory was independently associated with a higher risk of CVD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.23; 95% [confidence interval], 1.06-1.42). Notably, the associations differed by age, a significant association was only observed in participants aged ≥55 years (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.05-1.58), rather than those aged <55 years (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.89-1.33). The addition of SUA trajectories to a baseline risk model for CVD improved the integrated discrimination improvement value (P < 0.05) and category-free net reclassification improvement value (P < 0.05). Bayesian network showed the conditional probability of high CVD risk associated with aging, elevated SUA trajectories, blood pressure, glucose, and inflammation was 15.5%.

conclusionsHigh-stable SUA trajectories were independently associated with an elevated risk of CVD, which is mainly induced by hypertension, diabetes, and inflammation, especially in participants aged ≥55 years.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesUric AcidAdultAgedChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUric AcidAge differenceBayesian network analysisCardiovascular diseaseSerum uric acidTrajectory

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.