Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39359863›Full record

ReviewFrontiers in epidemiology2024

Dementia risk prediction modelling in low- and middle-income countries: current state of evidence.

Maha Alshahrani, Serena Sabatini, Devi Mohan, Jacob Brain, Eduwin Pakpahan, Eugene Y H Tang, Louise Robinson, Mario Siervo, Aliya Naheed, Blossom Christa Maree Stephan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Frontiers in epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Evaluating the Use of Anxiety Patient-Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) in Dementia Clinical Trials: A Systematic Review.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Maha AlshahraniDementia Centre of Excellence, Curtin EnAble Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Serena SabatiniSchool of Psychology, University of Surrey, Guildford, United Kingdom.
Devi MohanSchool of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Herston, QLD, Australia.
Jacob BrainInstitute of Mental Health, Mental Health and Clinical Neurosciences, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Eduwin PakpahanApplied Statistics Research Group, Department of Mathematics, Physics and Electrical Engineering, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Eugene Y H TangPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Louise RobinsonInstitute of Health and Society, Newcastle University Institute of Ageing, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Mario SiervoDementia Centre of Excellence, Curtin EnAble Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Aliya NaheedNon Communicable Diseases, Nutrition Research Division, icddr,b, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Blossom Christa Maree StephanDementia Centre of Excellence, Curtin EnAble Institute, Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dementia is a leading cause of death and disability with over 60% of cases residing in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Therefore, new strategies to mitigate risk are urgently needed. However, despite the high burden of disease associated with dementia in LMICs, research into dementia risk profiling and risk prediction modelling is limited. Further, dementia risk prediction models developed in high income countries generally do not transport well to LMICs suggesting that context-specific models are instead needed. New prediction models have been developed, in China and Mexico only, with varying predictive accuracy. However, none has been externally validated or incorporated variables that may be important for predicting dementia risk in LMIC settings such as socio-economic status, literacy, healthcare access, nutrition, stress, pollutants, and occupational hazards. Since there is not yet any curative treatment for dementia, developing a context-specific dementia prediction model is urgently needed for planning early interventions for vulnerable groups, particularly for resource constrained LMIC settings.

Indexed as

ageingdementialow-and middle-income countriesrisk predictionrisk prediction algorithm

Identifiers

PMID39359863
PMCPMC11444985

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.