Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39333931›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2024

Comprehensive statistical analysis reveals significant benefits of COVID-19 vaccination in hospitalized patients: propensity score, covariate adjustment, and feature importance by permutation.

Eduardo Villela de Moraes, Magda Carvalho Pires, Amanda Abrantes Abreu Costa, Aline Gabrielle Sousa Nunes, Caroline Lopes de Amorim, Euler Roberto Fernandes Manenti, Fernanda Barbosa Lucas, Fernanda d'Athayde Rodrigues, Fernando Anschau, Guilherme Fonseca do Nascimento and 12 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Eduardo Villela de MoraesMedical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Belo Horizonte, CEP 30130-100, Brazil. eduardohmob@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-4563-3480
Magda Carvalho PiresDepartment of Statistics, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, 6627, ICEx, sala 4071, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3312-4002
Amanda Abrantes Abreu CostaMedical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Belo Horizonte, CEP 30130-100, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7751-6895
Aline Gabrielle Sousa NunesHospital Unimed-BH, Av. do Contorno, Belo Horizonte, 3097, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8036-0871
Caroline Lopes de AmorimUniversidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri (UFVJM), R. da Glória, 187, Diamantina, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5457-4048
Euler Roberto Fernandes ManentiHospital Universitário Canoas, Av. Farroupilha, Porto Alegre, 8001, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-4727
Fernanda Barbosa LucasHospital Santo Antônio, Praça Dr. Márcio Carvalho Lopes Filho, 501, Curvelo, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3926-900X
Fernanda d'Athayde RodriguesUniversity Hospital of Porto Alegre, R. Ramiro Barcelos, Porto Alegre, 2350, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7368-3592
Fernando AnschauHospital Nossa Senhora da Conceição, Av. Francisco Trein, 326, Porto Alegre, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2657-5406
Guilherme Fonseca do NascimentoUniversidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Praça Frei Orlando, 170, São João del- Rei, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-7862-8701
Giovanna Grunewald ViettaHospital SOS Cárdio, Rodovia SC-401, 121, Florianópolis, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0756-3098
Jessica Fernandes Benavides MoreiraUniversidade Federal da Bahia, Av. Milton Santos, Vitória da Conquista, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9693-761X
Karen Brasil RuschelHospital Universitário Canoas, Av. Farroupilha, Porto Alegre, 8001, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0812-920X
Monica Aparecida CostaHospital Risoleta Tolentino Neves, R. das Gabirobas, 1, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2151-5033
Pamela Andrea Alves DuraesPontifıcia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais (PUCMG), R. Dom José Gaspar, 500, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5320-8572
Pedro Augusto Van Der Sand GermaniCentro Infant, Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Pontifıcia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul (PUCRS), Av. Ipiranga, Porto Alegre, 6681, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8274-6938
Priscilla Pereira Dos ReisHospital Metropolitano Doutor Célio de Castro, R. Dona Luiza, 311, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0340-9464
Rochele Mosmann MenezesHospital Santa Cruz, R. Fernando Abott, 174, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1548-1607
Leonardo Chaves Dutra da RochaUniversidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Praça Frei Orlando, 170, São João del- Rei, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4913-4902
Marcos André GonçalvesComputer Science Department of Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Presidente Antônio Carlos, Belo Horizonte, 6627, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2075-3363
Unaí TupinambasMedical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Belo Horizonte, CEP 30130-100, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6833-3870
Milena Soriano MarcolinoMedical School and University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Av. Professor Alfredo Balena, 110, Belo Horizonte, CEP 30130-100, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4278-3771

Funding

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico 310561/2021-3Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais APQ-01154-21National Institute of Science and Technology for Health Technology Assessment 465518/2014-1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCOVID-19 vaccines effectively prevent infection and hospitalization. However, few population-based studies have compared the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 using advanced statistical methods. Our objective is to address this evidence gap by comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated patients hospitalized for COVID-19.

methodsThis retrospective cohort included adult COVID-19 patients admitted from March 2021 to August 2022 from 27 hospitals. Clinical characteristics, vaccination status, and outcomes were extracted from medical records. Vaccinated and unvaccinated patients were compared using propensity score analyses, calculated based on variables associated with vaccination status and/or outcomes, including waves. The vaccination effect was also assessed by covariate adjustment and feature importance by permutation.

resultsFrom the 3,188 patients, 1,963 (61.6%) were unvaccinated and 1,225 (38.4%) were fully vaccinated. Among these, 558 vaccinated individuals were matched with 558 unvaccinated ones. Vaccinated patients had lower rates of mortality (19.4% vs. 33.3%), invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV-18.3% vs. 34.6%), noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV-10.6% vs. 22.0%), intensive care unit admission (ICU-32.0% vs. 44.1%) vasoactive drug use (21.1% vs. 32.6%), dialysis (8.2% vs. 14.7%) hospital length of stay (7.0 vs. 9.0 days), and thromboembolic events (3.9% vs.7.7%), p < 0.05 for all. Risk-adjusted multivariate analysis demonstrated a significant inverse association between vaccination and in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.31-0.56; p < 0.001) as well as IMV (aOR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.30-0.53; p < 0.001). These results were consistent in all analyses, including feature importance by permutation.

conclusionVaccinated patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 had significantly lower mortality and other severe outcomes than unvaccinated ones during the Delta and Omicron waves. These findings have important implications for public health strategies and support the critical importance of vaccination efforts, particularly in low-income countries, where vaccination coverage remains suboptimal.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesHospitalizationSARS-CoV-2VaccinationVaccine EfficacyAgedBrazilFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPropensity ScoreRetrospective StudiesCOVID-19 VaccinesBrazilCOVID-19HospitalizationsMachine learningMortalityPropensity scoreSARS-CoV-2Severe illnessVaccine

Identifiers

PMID39333931
PMCPMC11428431

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.