Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39333313›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2024

The economic value of reducing avoidable mortality.

Angela Y Chang, Gretchen A Stevens, Diego S Cardoso, Bochen Cao, Dean T Jamison

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The Economic Value of Reducing Asthma Mortality in 64 Countries, 2000-2022, With Projections up to 2040: A Global Modelling Study.Clinical and experimental allergy : journal of the British Society for Allergy and Clinical Immunology · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Angela Y Chang *Danish Institute for Advanced Study, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark. achang@health.sdu.dk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3947-3588
Gretchen A Stevens *Independent researcher, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Diego S CardosoDepartment of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6781-1025
Bochen CaoWorld Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Dean T JamisonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Funding

World Bank Group (World Bank) Healthy Longevity InitiativeWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Living longer and healthier boosts individual and family welfare. As part of the World Bank's Healthy Longevity Initiative, we quantified the economic value of achieving the highest possible life span. We estimated the economic value of reducing avoidable mortality, defined as the difference between observed (or projected) mortality and lowest achieved (or projected) mortality, by world regions, sex, and age, between 2000 and 2021, with projection to 2050. In 2019, 69% of mortality, or 40 million deaths, was avoidable. The economic value of avoidable mortality globally was 23% of annual income, meaning that, globally, populations would be willing to give up about one-fifth of their current income in exchange for a year living at the lowest achieved mortality rate. This value ranges from 19% in China to 34% in sub-Saharan Africa. Under the rapid-progress scenario, in which countries experience fast but plausible mortality reductions from 2019 to 2050, we would expect globally the gap between projected and frontier life expectancy to be halved by 2050, and the economic value after achieving this scenario is equivalent to 14% of annual income. Our work provides supportive evidence on the high economic value placed on improving health.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyMortalityAgedFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncomeLongevityMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.