Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39327128›Full record

ArticleSurgery2024

Potential risks of nonoperative management of appendicitis in high-risk patients.

Nicole Lunardi, Melissa Thornton, Ben L Zarzaur, Suresh Agarwal, Miles Berger, Sherene Sharath, Panos Kougias, Sneha Bhat, Kenneth Frank, Thai H Pham and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Surgery, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nicole LunardiDepartment of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, TX; Department of Surgery, North Texas VA Health Care System, Dallas, TX.
Melissa ThorntonDepartment of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, TX; Department of Surgery, North Texas VA Health Care System, Dallas, TX.
Ben L ZarzaurDepartment of Surgery, University of Wisconsin-Madison, WI.
Suresh AgarwalDepartment of Surgery, Duke Health, Durham, NC.
Miles BergerDepartment of Anesthesiology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC.
Sherene SharathDepartment of Surgery, SUNY Downstate Health Sciences Center, Brooklyn, NY; Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, SUNY Downstate Health Sciences Center, Brooklyn, NY; Department of Surgery, New York Harbor Health Care System, Brooklyn, NY.
Panos KougiasDepartment of Surgery, SUNY Downstate Health Sciences Center, Brooklyn, NY; Department of Surgery, New York Harbor Health Care System, Brooklyn, NY.
Sneha BhatDepartment of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, TX.
Kenneth FrankDepartment of Counseling, Educational Psychology and Special Education, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
Thai H PhamDepartment of Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, TX; Department of Surgery, North Texas VA Health Care System, Dallas, TX.
Courtney J BalentineDepartment of Surgery, University of Wisconsin-Madison, WI; Wisconsin Surgical Outcomes Research Program, Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; William S. Middleton VA, Madison, WI. Electronic address: cbalentine@wisc.edu.

Funding

A Pilot Study of Local Anesthesia for Inguinal Hernia Surgery in Older AdultsK76AG068515 · NIA · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI BALENTINE, COURTNEY J · 2021 to 2024
$939k
NIA NIH HHS K76 AG068515
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe popularity of nonoperative management for acute appendicitis is based on the untested assumption that it offers a lower risk alternative to surgery in patients who are at high risk for morbidity and mortality with appendectomy. We hypothesized that patients who were at a high risk with appendectomy would also be at a high risk for complications following nonoperative management.

methodsThis is a retrospective cohort study of patients with acute, uncomplicated appendicitis in the 2004-2017 National Inpatient Sample. We used a logistic regression model to predict the risk of morbidity or mortality following appendectomy and applied this model to predict the risk of patients managed nonoperatively. High risk was defined as ≥2 standard deviations above the mean predicted risk of morbidity or mortality. We used inverse probability weighting of the propensity score to compare outcomes of nonoperative versus operative management for high-risk patients.

resultsThe sample included 21,242 high-risk patients with a median age of 68 years (interquartile range 57-78), and 31% were managed nonoperatively. Compared to surgery, nonoperative management was associated with a 9% decrease in complications (95% confidence interval [CI] 7%-10%), 2% increase in mortality (95% CI 2%-3%), $10,202 increase in hospital costs (95% CI $9,065-$11,339), 3-day increase in length of stay (95% CI 2-3), and 9% greater likelihood of discharge to skilled nursing facilities (95% CI 8%-10%).

conclusionNonoperative management of acute appendicitis in high-risk patients may reduce morbidity but increase mortality, duration of hospitalization, discharge to skilled facility, and costs. Surgeons should exercise caution when considering nonoperative management in these vulnerable patients.

Indexed as

AppendectomyAppendicitisAdultAgedConservative TreatmentFemaleHumansLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsPropensity ScoreRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39327128
PMCPMC11563903

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.