Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39320959›Full record

ArticleClinical and translational gastroenterology2024

Predicting Response to Neuromodulators or Prokinetics in Patients With Suspected Gastroparesis Using Machine Learning: The "BMI, Infectious Prodrome, Delayed GES, and No Diabetes" Model.

Will Takakura, Brian Surjanhata, Linda Anh Bui Nguyen, Henry P Parkman, Satish S C Rao, Richard W McCallum, Michael Schulman, John Man-Ho Wo, Irene Sarosiek, Baha Moshiree and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and translational gastroenterology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Will TakakuraDivision of Gastroenterology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Brian SurjanhataDivision of Gastroenterology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Linda Anh Bui NguyenDivision of Gastroenterology, Stanford Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.
Henry P ParkmanDivision of Gastroenterology, Temple University Health System Inc, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Satish S C RaoDivision of Gastroenterology, Augusta University, Augusta, Georgia, USA.
Richard W McCallumDivision of Gastroenterology, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center El Paso, El Paso, Texas, USA.
Michael SchulmanSuncoast GI Associates LLC, Bradenton, Florida, USA.
John Man-Ho WoDivision of Gastroenterology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Irene SarosiekDivision of Gastroenterology, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center El Paso, El Paso, Texas, USA.
Baha MoshireeGastroenterology and Hepatology, Atrium Health, Charlotte, North Carolina, USA.
Braden KuoDivision of Gastroenterology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
William L HaslerDivision of Gastroenterology, Mayo Clinic, Scottsdale, Arizona, USA.
Allen A LeeDivision of Gastroenterology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4861-7646

Funding

A Systems Biology Approach Using Fecal Microbiota and Metabolomics to Identify Novel Subtypes in Irritable Bowel Syndrome.K23DK124567 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LEE, ALLEN A · 2021 to 2023
$729k
Medtronic, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases DK124567NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK124567
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPharmacologic therapies for symptoms of gastroparesis (GP) have limited efficacy, and it is difficult to predict which patients will respond. In this study, we implemented a machine learning model to predict the response to prokinetics and/or neuromodulators in patients with GP-like symptoms.

methodsSubjects with suspected GP underwent simultaneous gastric emptying scintigraphy (GES) and wireless motility capsule and were followed for 6 months. Subjects were included if they were started on neuromodulators and/or prokinetics. Subjects were considered responders if their GP Cardinal Symptom Index at 6 months decreased by ≥1 from baseline. A machine learning model was trained using lasso regression, ridge regression, or random forest. Five-fold cross-validation was used to train the models, and the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) was calculated using the test set.

resultsOf the 150 patients enrolled, 123 patients received either a prokinetic and/or a neuromodulator. Of the 123, 45 were considered responders and 78 were nonresponders. A ridge regression model with the variables, such as body mass index, infectious prodrome, delayed gastric emptying scintigraphy, no diabetes, had the highest AUC-ROC of 0.72. The model performed well for subjects on prokinetics without neuromodulators (AUC-ROC of 0.83) but poorly for those on neuromodulators without prokinetics. A separate model with gastric emptying time, duodenal motility index, no diabetes, and functional dyspepsia performed better (AUC-ROC of 0.75). DISCUSSION: This machine learning model has an acceptable accuracy in predicting those who will respond to neuromodulators and/or prokinetics. If validated, our model provides valuable data in predicting treatment outcomes in patients with GP-like symptoms.

Indexed as

Gastric EmptyingGastroparesisMachine LearningNeurotransmitter AgentsAdultAgedBody Mass IndexFemaleGastrointestinal AgentsHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRadionuclide ImagingROC CurveTreatment OutcomeGastrointestinal AgentsNeurotransmitter Agents

Identifiers

PMID39320959
PMCPMC11421729

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.