ArticleRevista de saude publica2024
Fiscal austerity and municipal health spending: an interrupted time series study.
Article in Revista de saude publica, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Recommendations of the Brazilian Society of Nephrology for the management of chronic kidney disease in primary health care.Jornal brasileiro de nefrologiaGuideline
- Space-time clustering and temporal trend analysis of pulmonary tuberculosis in Brazil, 2010-2023.PloS one · 2026Article
- Projecting tuberculosis control progress in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas of Brazil, 2001-2035: a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Article
- Parliamentary amendments aimed at the Brazilian Unified National Health System and the reelection of municipal mayors in Brazil in 2024.Cadernos de saude publica · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo analyze the impact of the fiscal austerity policy (PAF) on health spending in Brazilian municipalities, considering population size and source of funds.
methodsThe interrupted time series method was used to analyze the effect of the PAF on total expenditure, resources transferred by the Federal Government, and own/state per capita resources allocated to health in the municipalities. The time series analyzed covered the period from 2010 to 2019, every six months. The first semester of 2015 was adopted as the start date of the intervention. The municipalities were grouped into small (up to 100,000 inhabitants), medium (101,000 to 400,000 inhabitants), and large (over 400,000 inhabitants). The data was obtained from the Sistema de Informações sobre Orçamentos Públicos em Saúde (Information System on Public Health Budget).
resultsThe results for the national average of municipalities show that the PAF had a negative impact on the level of total expenditure and own/state resources allocated to health in the first half of 2015, without causing statically significant changes in the trends of any of the indicators analyzed in the period after 2015. Small municipalities saw a drop in total expenditure, while large municipalities saw a drop in own/state resources, and medium-sized municipalities saw a drop in both variables. There was no statistically significant drop in the volume of funds transferred by the Federal Government in the immediate aftermath of the implementation of the PAF in any of the municipal groups analyzed. In the medium-term, the PAF only had a negative impact on the large municipalities, which saw significant reductions in the trends of own/state resources and those transferred by the Union for health.
conclusionIn general, the impact of the PAF on health financing in municipalities was immediate and based on the decrease in own/state resources allocated to health. In large municipalities, however, the impact lasted from 2015 to 2019, mainly affecting health expenditure from federal funds.
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