Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39316386›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Impact of COVID-19 on 2021 cancer incidence rates and potential rebound from 2020 decline.

Nadia Howlader, Huann-Sheng Chen, Anne-Michelle Noone, Daniel Miller, Jeffry Byrne, Serban Negoita, Kathleen A Cronin, Angela B Mariotto

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Cancer incidence and mortality trends from 2007 to 2021 in Milan.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2026
    Article
  2. Impacts of a Public Health Emergency on Cancer Testing Rates, Follow-up, and Cancer Diagnosis: An Evaluation of the COVID-19 Pandemic.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
  3. Population-level cancer trends among solid organ transplant recipients in the United States during 1995-2021.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2026
    Article
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  5. Observational
  6. Assessment of Rebound in Cancer Diagnoses in California in 2022, by Stage, Sociodemographic Factors, and Rurality.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
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  10. COVID-19 and Lung Cancer Interactions: A Literature Review.Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Nadia HowladerSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1989-1478
Huann-Sheng ChenSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5905-8050
Anne-Michelle NooneSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Daniel MillerInformation Management Services, Calverton, MD, USA.
Jeffry ByrneInformation Management Services, Calverton, MD, USA.
Serban NegoitaSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9327-9519
Kathleen A CroninSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Angela B MariottoSurveillance Research Program, Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.

Funding

Division of Cancer Control and Population SciencesNCI NIH HHSSurveillance Research Program
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic led to substantial declines in cancer incidence rates in 2020, likely because of disruptions in screening and diagnostic services. This study aimed to assess the impact of the pandemic on cancer incidence rates in the United States using 2021 incidence data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. The analysis compared observed 2021 cancer incidence rates with expected prepandemic trends, evaluating changes by individual cancer site and stage. Although incidence overall and in many cancer sites the rates were close to prepandemic levels, they did not exhibit a recovery that incorporated the delayed diagnoses from 2020. There were exceptions, however, such as metastatic breast cancer, which showed significantly higher observed rates than expected (rate ratio = 1.09, 95% confidence interval = 1.04 to 1.13). Ongoing monitoring and targeted interventions are needed to address the long-term consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer care and outcomes.

Indexed as

COVID-19NeoplasmsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2SEER ProgramUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39316386
PMCPMC11884841

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.