Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39315873›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association2025

The urban-rural gap in older Americans' healthy life expectancy.

Jack M Chapel, Elizabeth Currid-Halkett, Bryan Tysinger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Rural and Urban Differences in the Trends in Supply of Home Care Workers From 2015 to 2024.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. U.S. Rural Population Health and Aging in the 2020s.The Public policy and aging report · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jack M ChapelSol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1543-9449
Elizabeth Currid-HalkettSol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Bryan TysingerSol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.

Funding

USC-Yale Roybal Center for Behavioral Interventions in AgingP30AG024968 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI JASON N. DOCTOR, Daniella Meeker · 2004 to 2026
$14.7M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024968NIH HHS P30AG024968
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeEstimate health-quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) for Americans nearing retirement age and assess rural-urban disparities in QALE.

methodsWe used a dynamic microsimulation model based on Health and Retirement Study data to estimate the quantity and health quality of expected future life years for rural and urban Americans ages 59-60 in 2014-2020.

findingsCohort life expectancy at age 60 (LE) for urban and rural men was 22.9 and 20.9, respectively; for urban and rural women, LE was 25.6 and 25.0, respectively. Adjusting future life years to quality-adjusted life years, QALE was 17.5 versus 15.7 for urban versus rural men, and 19.3 versus 18.7 for women. Compared to a cohort in 1994-2000, the urban-rural QALE gap in 2014-2020 grew substantially for men; changes for women were smaller. Average QALE masked heterogeneity by race/ethnicity, education, and Census region. Counterfactual scenarios suggested eliminating smoking and managing obesity and prevalent heart conditions would be particularly beneficial for increasing rural QALE and reducing the urban-rural gap.

conclusionsExpected health quality, in addition to longevity, is an important factor when assessing rural disparities in older Americans' future life outcomes. Current chronic disease disparities are expected to translate to a widening urban-rural gap in QALE, particularly for men. Interventions earlier in life may be needed to fully address disparities in QALE at older ages.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyRural PopulationUrban PopulationAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHealth Status DisparitiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited Statesaginghealth disparitieshealth‐related quality of lifelife expectancymicrosimulation

Identifiers

PMID39315873
PMCPMC11650376

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.