Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39304733›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2024

Machine learning reveals heterogeneous associations between environmental factors and cardiometabolic diseases across polygenic risk scores.

Tatsuhiko Naito, Kosuke Inoue, Shinichi Namba, Kyuto Sonehara, Ken Suzuki, BioBank Japan, Koichi Matsuda, Naoki Kondo, Tatsushi Toda, Toshimasa Yamauchi and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Genetic basis of Asian diabetes.Journal of diabetes investigation · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Tatsuhiko Naito *Department of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan. tnaito0315@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2779-4600
Kosuke Inoue *Department of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Shinichi NambaDepartment of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7486-3146
Kyuto SoneharaDepartment of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4536-1761
Ken SuzukiDepartment of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1065-3593
BioBank Japan
Koichi MatsudaLaboratory of Clinical Genome Sequencing, Department of Computational Biology and Medical Sciences, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7292-2686
Naoki KondoDepartment of Social Epidemiology, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Tatsushi TodaDepartment of Neurology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0717-1123
Toshimasa YamauchiDepartment of Diabetes and Metabolic Diseases, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Takashi KadowakiToranomon Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5428-3582
Yukinori OkadaDepartment of Statistical Genetics, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Japan. yuki-okada@m.u-tokyo.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0311-8472

Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED) JP22rea522107MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) 22H00476MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) 22K17392Takeda Science Foundation NA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are expected to be helpful in precision medicine, it remains unclear whether high-PRS groups are more likely to benefit from preventive interventions for diseases. Recent methodological advancements enable us to predict treatment effects at the individual level.

methodsWe employed causal forest to explore the relationship between PRSs and individual risk of diseases associated with certain environmental factors. Following simulations illustrating its performance, we applied our approach to investigate the individual risk of cardiometabolic diseases, including coronary artery diseases (CAD) and type 2 diabetes (T2D), associated with obesity and smoking among individuals from UK Biobank (UKB; n = 369,942) and BioBank Japan (BBJ; n = 149,421).

resultsHere we find the heterogeneous association of obesity and smoking with diseases across PRS values, complicated by the multi-dimensional combination of individual characteristics such as age and sex. The highest positive correlations of PRSs and the exposure-related disease risks are observed between obesity and T2D in UKB and between smoking and CAD in BBJ (Spearman's ρ = 0.61 and 0.32, respectively). However, most relationships are weak or negative, suggesting that high-PRS groups will not necessarily benefit most from environmental factor prevention.

conclusionsOur study highlights the importance of individual-level prediction of disease risks associated with target exposure in precision medicine.

Identifiers

PMID39304733
PMCPMC11415376

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.