Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39302700›Full record

ArticleJNCI cancer spectrum2024

Survival prediction in sigmoid colon cancer patients with liver metastasis: a prospective cohort study.

Shuai Shao, Dan Tian, Mingyang Li, Shanshan Wu, Dong Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JNCI cancer spectrum, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Association of cancer with racial disparities in financial health: a national cohort study.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2025
    Observational
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shuai ShaoDepartment of Immunology, Beijing Clinical Research Institute, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0009-0007-5637-5513
Dan TianGeneral Surgery Department, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6894-2673
Mingyang LiDepartment of Immunology, Beijing Clinical Research Institute, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1446-6381
Shanshan WuDepartment of Immunology, Beijing Clinical Research Institute, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Dong ZhangDepartment of Immunology, Medical Research Center, Beijing Institute of Respiratory Medicine and Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3404-5173

Funding

Beijing Postdoctoral Research Foundation 2022-ZZ-031China Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2022M712220National Natural Science Foundation of China 82270606
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSigmoid colon cancer is a common type of colorectal cancer, frequently leading to liver metastasis. Predicting cause-specific survival and overall survival in patients with sigmoid colon cancer metastasis to liver is challenging because of the lack of suitable models.

methodsPatients with sigmoid colon cancer metastasis to liver (2010-2017) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program were recruited. Patients were split into training and validation groups (7:3). Prognostic factors were identified using competing risk and Cox proportional hazards models, and nomograms for cause-specific survival and overall survival were developed. Model performance was evaluated with the concordance index and calibration curves, with a 2-sided P value less than .05 considered statistically significant.

resultsA total of 4981 sigmoid colon cancer with liver metastasis patients were included, with a median follow-up of 20 months (interquartile range [IQR] = 9-33 months). During follow-up, 72.25% of patients died (68.44% from sigmoid colon cancer, 3.81% from other causes). Age, race, grade, T stage, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, carcinoembryonic antigen, tumor deposits, lung metastasis, and tumor size were prognostic factors for cause-specific survival and overall survival. The models demonstrated good discrimination and calibration performance, with C index values of 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.78 to 0.80) for cause-specific survival and 0.74 (95% CI = 0.73 to 0.75) for overall survival. A web-based application for real-time cause-specific survival predictions was created, accessible at https://shuaishao.shinyapps.io/SCCLM/.

conclusionPrognostic factors for sigmoid colon cancer with liver metastasis patients were identified based on the SEER database, and nomograms for cause-specific survival and overall survival showed good performance. A web-based application was developed to predict sigmoid colon cancer with liver metastasis-specific survival, aiding in survival risk stratification.

Indexed as

Liver NeoplasmsNomogramsProportional Hazards ModelsSEER ProgramSigmoid NeoplasmsAgedAge FactorsCarcinoembryonic AntigenFemaleHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm StagingPrognosisCarcinoembryonic Antigen

Identifiers

PMID39302700
PMCPMC11476935

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.