Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39298431›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Trends in smoking initiation and cessation over a century in two Australian cohorts.

Alan L James, Gulser Caliskan, Giancarlo Pesce, Simone Accordini, Michael J Abramson, Dinh Bui, Arthur W Musk, Matthew W Knuiman, Jennifer L Perret, Deborah Jarvis and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Alan L JamesDepartment of Pulmonary Physiology and Sleep Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Gulser CaliskanUnit of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2370-349X
Giancarlo PesceCenter for Research in Epidemiology and Population Health, INSERM, Paris-Saclay University, Paris-South University, UVSQ, Villejuif, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4925-6325
Simone AccordiniUnit of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-1510-6193
Michael J AbramsonSchool of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9954-0538
Dinh BuiAllergy and Lung Health Unit, School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Arthur W MuskDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Matthew W KnuimanSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Jennifer L PerretAllergy and Lung Health Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Deborah JarvisNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Cosetta MinelliNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Lucia CalcianoUnit of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
Jennie HuiDepartment of Diagnostic Genomics, PathWest Laboratory Medicine, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Michael HunterSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6704-4815
Paul S ThomasPrince of Wales' Clinical School, UNSW, and Respiratory Medicine, Prince of Wales' Hospital, Randwick, New South Wales, Australia.
E Haydn WaltersSchool of Medicine, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
Judith Garcia-AymerichISGlobal, Barcelona, Spain.
Shyamali C DharmageAllergy and Lung Health Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Alessandro MarconUnit of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-2778-658X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHistorical data on smoking can enhance our comprehension of the effectiveness of past tobacco control policies and play a key role in developing targeted public health interventions. This study was undertaken to assess trends in smoking initiation and cessation in Australia for the period 1910-2005.

methodsRates of smoking initiation and cessation were calculated for participants in two population-based cohorts, the Busselton Health Study and the Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study. The effects of time trends, gender and age group were evaluated.

resultsOf the 29,971 participants, 56.8% ever smoked. In males, over the period 1910-1999, the rate of smoking initiation in young adolescents remained high with a peak in the 1970s; in older adolescents it peaked in the 1940s and then declined; in young adults it showed a steady decline. In females, the rate of smoking initiation in young adolescents rose sharply in the 1960s and peaked in the 1970s, in older adolescents it increased throughout the period, and in young adults it declined after 1970. In the period 1930-2005, 27.3% of 9,605 people aged 36-50 years who smoked ceased smoking. Rates of cessation in this age group increased throughout but decreased in males after 1990 and plateaued around 2000 in females.

conclusionOur findings show substantial variation in the efficacy of tobacco control policies across age groups, with a notable lack of success among the younger population.

Indexed as

SmokingSmoking CessationAdolescentAdultAgedAustraliaCohort StudiesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39298431
PMCPMC11412490

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.