Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39293548›Full record

Trial reportGastroenterology2025

A Phase 3 Biomarker Validation of GALAD for the Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhosis.

Tracey L Marsh, Neehar D Parikh, Lewis R Roberts, Myron E Schwartz, Mindie H Nguyen, Alex Befeler, Stephanie Page-Lester, Nabihah Tayob, Sudhir Srivastava, Jo Ann Rinaudo and 3 more

Abstract readValidation StudyMulticenter StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  17. Psychosocial impact of false-positive surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma: a qualitative study.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Tracey L MarshBiostatistics Program, Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Neehar D ParikhDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Lewis R RobertsDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, Rochester, Minnesota.
Myron E SchwartzRecanati/Miller Transplant Institute, Mount Sinai Medical Center, New York, New York.
Mindie H NguyenDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology and Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University, Palo Alto, California.
Alex BefelerDivision of Gastroenterology, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri.
Stephanie Page-LesterBiostatistics Program, Public Health Sciences Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington.
Nabihah TayobDepartment of Data Science, Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts.
Sudhir SrivastavaCancer Biomarkers Research Group, Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Jo Ann RinaudoCancer Biomarkers Research Group, Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland.
Amit G SingalDivision of Digestive and Liver Disease, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas.
K Rajender ReddyDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Jorge A MarreroDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: jorge.marrero@pennmedicine.upenn.edu.

Funding

The Early Detection Research Network: Data Management and Coordinating CenterU24CA086368 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI RUTH D ETZIONI, Ziding Feng · 2010 to 2026
$75.7M
SAN ANTONIO CENTER OF BIOMARKERS OF RISK FOR PROSTATE CAU01CA086402 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI LEACH, ROBIN JEAN, THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2000 to 2018
$33.1M
Clinical Validation Center for Hepatocellular CarcinomaU01CA271887 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI FASIHA KANWAL, JORGE A MARRERO · 2022 to 2026
$4.7M
Precision Risk Stratification and Screening for HCC among Patients with Cirrhosis in the United StatesU01CA230694 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Translation of a biomarker panel for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinomaR01CA237659 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI MARRERO, JORGE A, MEHTA, ANAND S. · 2019 to 2023
$2.5M
Precision Screening for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with CirrhosisR01CA222900 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2023
$2.4M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222900NCI NIH HHS R01 CA237659NCI NIH HHS U01 CA086402NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230694NCI NIH HHS U01 CA271887NCI NIH HHS U24 CA086368
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsBetter surveillance tests for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are needed. The GALAD score (gender, age, α-fetoprotein [AFP] L3, AFP, and des-γ carboxyprothrombin) has been shown to have excellent sensitivity and specificity for HCC in phase 2 studies. We performed a phase 3 biomarker validation study to compare GALAD with AFP in detecting HCC.

methodsThis is a prospective study of patients with cirrhosis enrolled at 7 centers. Surveillance for HCC was performed every 6 months at each site, and HCC diagnosis was confirmed per American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Blood for biomarker research was obtained at each follow-up visit and stored in a biorepository. Measurements of AFP, AFP-L3, and des-γ carboxyprothrombin) were performed in a FujiFilm laboratory by staff blinded to clinical data. The performance of GALAD in detecting HCC was retrospectively evaluated within 12 months before the clinical diagnosis. All analyses were conducted by an unblinded statistician in the Early Detection Research Network data management and coordinating center.

resultsA total of 1,558 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and followed for a median of 2.2 years. A total of 109 patients developed HCC (76 very early or early stage), with an annual incident rate of 2.4%. The areas under the curve for AFP and GALAD within 12 months before HCC were 0.66 and 0.78 (P < .001), respectively. Using a cutoff for GALAD of -1.36, the specificity was 82%, and the sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis was 62%. For comparison, performance of AFP at 82% specificity showed 41% sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis (P = .001).

conclusionsGALAD score, compared to AFP, improves the detection of HCC within 12 months before the actual diagnosis.

Indexed as

alpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, HepatocellularEarly Detection of CancerLiver CirrhosisLiver NeoplasmsProtein PrecursorsAdultAgedBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesacarboxyprothrombinAFP protein, humanalpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkersBiomarkers, TumorProtein PrecursorsProthrombinAFPEarly DetectionGALADHepatocellular Carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID39293548
PMCPMC12120501

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.