Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39286575›Full record

ArticleOsteoarthritis and cartilage open2024

Unbiased analysis of knee cartilage thickness change over three years after sprifermin vs. placebo treatment - A post-hoc analysis from the phase 2B FORWARD study.

Felix Eckstein, Susanne Maschek, Wolfgang Wirth, Christoph Ladel, Asger Reinstrup Bihlet, Chris Knight, Kenneth Somberg, Luping Zhao

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoarthritis and cartilage open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01919164 (A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled, Parallel-group Trial to Investigate the Efficacy and Safety of Different Intra Articular), which is not on this map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01919164 phase2completednot on this map

A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo Controlled, Parallel-group Trial to Investigate the Efficacy and Safety of Different Intra Articular (i.a.) Dosages of Sprifermin in Subjects With Primary Osteoarthritis of the Knee

TypeinterventionalSponsorEMD Serono Research & Development Institute, Inc.Ran2013 to 2019Enrolled549ConditionsOsteoarthritis, KneeArmsSprifermin, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advances in cartilage imaging techniques.Nature reviews. Rheumatology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Felix EcksteinResearch Program for Musculoskeletal Imaging, Center for Anatomy & Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University (PMU), Salzburg, Austria.
Susanne MaschekResearch Program for Musculoskeletal Imaging, Center for Anatomy & Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University (PMU), Salzburg, Austria.
Wolfgang WirthResearch Program for Musculoskeletal Imaging, Center for Anatomy & Cell Biology, Paracelsus Medical University (PMU), Salzburg, Austria.
Christoph LadelCHL4special Consulting, Darmstadt, Germany.
Asger Reinstrup BihletNBCD A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Chris KnightFormation Bio, New York, NY, United States.
Kenneth SombergFormation Bio, New York, NY, United States.
Luping ZhaoFormation Bio, New York, NY, United States.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Post-treatment cartilage morphometry in the FORWARD study was performed without blinding to MRI acquisition order, involving potential reader bias. Here we obtained unbiased estimates of cartilage change post-treatment, reading year (Y)2 and Y5 MRIs with blinding to time point. We studied whether post-treatment cartilage thickness change differed between sprifermin- and placebo-treated knees. Methods: FORWARD was a 5-year randomized control trial in 549 knee osteoarthritis patients. Here, Y2/Y5 images were analyzed with blinding to relative temporal order and treatment group. Cartilage change during Y2→Y5 was obtained in 337 participants: n ​= ​57 treated with placebo intra-articular injections every 6 months (q6M); n ​= ​69 with 30 ​μg sprifermin every 12 months (q12 ​M), n ​= ​67 with 30 ​μg q6M, n ​= ​73 with 100 ​μg q12 ​M, and n ​= ​71 with 100 ​μg q6M between baseline (BL) and 18 ​M. Total femorotibial joint (TFTJ) cartilage thickness was the primary analytic focus. Results: TFTJ cartilage thickness change during Y2→Y5 was -26μm (SD64; 95%CI -32,-19) across the cohort; no statistically significant difference (p ​= ​0.80) was observed between Sprifermin treated or placebo arms (one-way ANOVA). All groups lost cartilage, but the treatment-related difference in cartilage thickness in Sprifermin arms relative to placebo at Y2 was maintained until Y5. Annualized cartilage change in placebo participants was -8.2 ​μm (SD21; 95%CI -14,-2.5) during Y2→Y5 vs. -5.4 ​μm (SD27; 95%CI -13,1.8) during BL→Y2; no significant difference was identified ( Conclusion: FORWARD is the first study evaluating post-treatment benefits of a potential disease modifying osteoarthritis drug. Cartilage thickness gained with 100 ​μg sprifermin at Y2 is maintained to Y5 and thus appears viable and sustainable.This is a post-hoc analysis of the FORWARD trial: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01919164.

Indexed as

Cartilage morphometryClinical trialDMOAD (sprifermin)Magnetic resonance imagingPost treatment efficacy

Identifiers

PMID39286575
PMCPMC11403365

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.