Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39284805›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Inequalities in global residential cooling energy use to 2050.

Giacomo Falchetta, Enrica De Cian, Filippo Pavanello, Ian Sue Wing

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  6. High-performance CeORSC advances · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
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  10. Outpacing climate change: adaptation to heatwaves in Europe.International journal of biometeorology · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Giacomo FalchettaCentro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, 30133, Venice, Italy. giacomo.falchetta@cmcc.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2607-2195
Enrica De CianCentro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, 30133, Venice, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7134-2540
Filippo PavanelloCentro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, 30133, Venice, Italy.
Ian Sue WingBoston University, Dept. of Earth & Environment, Boston, 02215, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1177-3589

Funding

DOE | Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy (Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy - U.S. Department of Energy) DE-SC0016162DOE | Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy (Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy - U.S. Department of Energy) DE-SC0022141EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council) 756194EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101081358
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Intersecting socio-demographic transformations and warming climates portend increasing worldwide heat exposures and health sequelae. Cooling adaptation via air conditioning (AC) is effective, but energy-intensive and constrained by household-level differences in income and adaptive capacity. Using statistical models trained on a large multi-country household survey dataset (n = 673,215), we project AC adoption and energy use to mid-century at fine spatial resolution worldwide. Globally, the share of households with residential AC could grow from 27% to 41% (range of scenarios assessed: 33-48%), implying up to a doubling of residential cooling electricity consumption, from 1220 to 1940 (scenarios range: 1590-2377) terawatt-hours yr.

Identifiers

PMID39284805
PMCPMC11405700

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.