Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39281611›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2024

Fitting the return period of dengue fever epidemic in Guangdong province of China.

Siqing Zeng, Jianpeng Xiao, Fen Yang, Jiya Dai, Meng Zhang, Haojie Zhong

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Siqing ZengGuangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.
Jianpeng XiaoGuangdong Provincial Institute of Public Health, Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.
Fen YangGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.
Jiya DaiGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.
Meng ZhangGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.
Haojie ZhongGuangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, 511430, Guangdong, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: The prevention and control of dengue fever (DF) has been a major public health issue in Guangdong (GD) province, China. This study aims to analyze the return period (RP) and the return level (RL) of DF epidemic in GD, to help the formulation of prevention and control plan. Methods: Three models, namely Lognormal distribution (Lognor D.), normal distribution (Norm D.), and generalized logistic distribution (GLD) were selected to fit the annual number of indigenous DF cases in GD from 1978 to 2021. The coefficient of determination (R Results: Fitting through the three models, the R Conclusions: The study discloses a temporal periodicity inherent to the DF epidemic in GD. The three models are applicable for forecasting and evaluating the RP and RL of DF epidemic in GD, separately.

Indexed as

Dengue feverEpidemicProbability distributionReturn levelReturn period

Identifiers

PMID39281611
PMCPMC11401080

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.