Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39281422›Full record

ArticleThe Review of economic studies2024

Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence From the Food Stamps Program.

Martha J Bailey, Hilary Hoynes, Maya Rossin-Slater, Reed Walker

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Review of economic studies, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. Long-term Effects of Local Area New Deal Work Relief in Childhood on Late-Life Depression.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2025
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  8. The long-term health effects of welfare reform.Social science & medicine (1982) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Martha J BaileyUniversity of California-Los Angeles and NBER, USA.
Hilary HoynesUniversity of California at Berkeley and NBER, USA.
Maya Rossin-SlaterStanford University and NBER, USA.
Reed WalkerUniversity of California at Berkeley and NBER, USA.

Funding

TRAINING IN THE DEMOGRAPHY OF AGINGT32AG000221 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Sarah A. Burgard · 1992 to 2026
$15.3M
Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD041022 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI HIRAM BELTRAN-SANCHEZ · 2016 to 2026
$6.9M
Scientific/Technical CoreP2CHD041028 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Sarah A. Burgard · 2017 to 2026
$6.5M
Community Care for All? Health Centers' Impact on Access to Care and HealthR01HD070950 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAILEY, MARTHA JANE · 2012 to 2016
$1.7M
Family Planning Programs and the Health and Fertility of US Women, 1960-1980R03HD058065 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAILEY, MARTHA JANE · 2009 to 2010
$188k
Documenting the War on Poverty's Community ProgramsR03HD066145 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BAILEY, MARTHA JANE · 2010 to 2011
$152k
NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000221NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041022NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041028NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD070950NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD058065NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD066145
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We use novel, large-scale data on 17.5 million Americans to study how a policy-driven increase in economic resources affects children's long-term outcomes. Using the 2000 Census and 2001-13 American Community Survey linked to the Social Security Administration's NUMIDENT, we leverage the county-level rollout of the Food Stamps program between 1961 and 1975. We find that children with access to greater economic resources before age five have better outcomes as adults. The treatment-on-the-treated effects show a 6% of a standard deviation improvement in human capital, 3% of a standard deviation increase in economic self-sufficiency, 8% of a standard deviation increase in the quality of neighbourhood of residence, a 1.2-year increase in life expectancy, and a 0.5 percentage-point decrease in likelihood of being incarcerated. These estimates suggest that Food Stamps' transfer of resources to families is a highly cost-effective investment in young children, yielding a marginal value of public funds of approximately sixty-two.

Indexed as

Food StampsI18I31I38J13J24Long-runSocial safety net

Identifiers

PMID39281422
PMCPMC11395512

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.