Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39280824›Full record

Observational studyThe Pan African medical journal2024

Observational study on the characteristics of COVID-19 transmission dynamics during the first wave of the epidemic in Lusaka, Zambia.

Millica Phiri, Tadatsugu Imamura, Patrick Sakubita, Nelia Langa, Moses Mulenga, Marian Matipa Mulenga, George Kapapi, Michael Mwamba, Jane Nalwimba, Deborah Tembo and 15 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Pan African medical journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Millica PhiriEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Tadatsugu ImamuraJapan International Cooperation Agency, Tokyo, Japan.
Patrick SakubitaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Nelia LangaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Moses MulengaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Marian Matipa MulengaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
George KapapiEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Michael MwambaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Jane NalwimbaEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Deborah TemboEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Kingsley KeembeEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Karen MoompizhoEmergency Operation Center, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Nkomba KayeyiIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
William NgosaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Davie SimwabaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Paul Msanzya ZuluIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Fred KapayaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Raymond HamoongaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Mazyanga Lucy MazabaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Nyambe SinyangeIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Muzala KapinaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Chie NagataCenter for Postgraduate Education and Training, National Center for Child Health and Development, Tokyo, Japan.
Nathan KapataIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.
Akira IshiguroCenter for Postgraduate Education and Training, National Center for Child Health and Development, Tokyo, Japan.
Victor MukonkaIncident Management System, Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission dynamics in the communities of low- and middle-income countries, particularly sub-Saharan African countries, are still not fully understood. This study aimed to determine the characteristics of COVID-19 secondary transmission during the first wave of the epidemic (March-October 2020) in Lusaka, Zambia. Methods: we conducted an observational study on COVID-19 secondary transmission among residents in Lusaka City, between March 18 and October 30, 2020. We compared the secondary attack rate (SAR) among different environmental settings of contacts and characteristics of primary cases (e.g, demographics, medical conditions) by logistic regression analysis. Results: out of 1862 confirmed cases of COVID-19, 272 primary cases generated 422 secondary cases through 216 secondary transmission events. More contacts and secondary transmissions were reported in planned residential areas than in unplanned residential areas. Households were the most common environmental settings of secondary transmission, representing 76.4% (165/216) of secondary transmission events. The SAR in households was higher than the overall events. None of the environmental settings or host factors of primary cases showed a statistically significant relationship with SAR. Conclusion: of the settings considered, households had the highest incidence of secondary transmission during the first wave in Lusaka, Zambia. The smaller proportion of contacts and secondary transmission in unplanned residential areas might have been due to underreporting of cases, given that those areas are reported to be vulnerable to infectious disease outbreaks. Continuous efforts are warranted to establish measures to suppress COVID-19 transmission in those high-risk environments.

Indexed as

COVID-19AdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolFamily CharacteristicsFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultZambiaAfricacontact tracingCOVID-19overdispersionsecondary attack ratesecondary transmissionsuper-spreading events

Identifiers

PMID39280824
PMCPMC11399458

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.