Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39279725›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2024

The current and future cancer burden in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.

Saleh A Alessy, Saleh A Alqahtani, Jerome Vignat, Amid Abuhmaidan, Amani E L Basmi, Najla Al Lawati, Ameera Ali A-Nooh, Wael Shelpai, Samar Alhomoud, Ali Al-Zahrani and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Saleh A AlessyPublic Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Saudi Electronic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0003-4588-7410
Saleh A AlqahtaniOrgan Transplant Center of Excellence, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Jerome VignatCancer Surveillance Branch, The International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Amid AbuhmaidanQatar National Cancer Registry, Doha, Qatar.
Amani E L BasmiKuwait National Cancer Registry, Kuwait City, Kuwait.
Najla Al LawatiOman National Cancer Registry, Muscat, Oman.
Ameera Ali A-NoohBahrain Cancer Registry, Manama, Bahrain.
Wael ShelpaiNational Cancer Registry, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
Samar AlhomoudSection of Colorectal Surgery, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Ali Al-ZahraniDivision of Research & Innovation, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Freddie BrayCancer Surveillance Branch, The International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3248-7787
Ariana ZnaorCancer Surveillance Branch, The International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5849-4782

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCancer is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. This study aims to provide cancer incidence and mortality estimates in 2020 in the GCC countries alongside future projections for 2040 to shape cancer control policy in the region.

methodsThe estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database developed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer; new cancer cases, cancer deaths, and corresponding age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for the year 2020 are presented.

resultsAn estimated 42,475 new cancer cases and 19,895 deaths occurred in the GCC countries in 2020, with corresponding age-standardized incidence and mortality rates of 96.5 and 52.3 per 100,000, respectively. Female breast (16%), colorectal (13%), and thyroid (9%) were the most common types of cancer in the GCC countries, accounting for almost 40% of all cancer incidence. Colorectal (14%) followed by breast cancer (9%) were the leading causes of cancer death, though the magnitude of rates of the major cancer types varied substantially across the GCC countries. Even if we assume rates in the region will remain unchanged over the next two decades, the cancer burden in the GCC will increase by 116% (Saudi Arabia) to 270% (Qatar), reaching nearly 104,000 cancer cases by the year 2040.

conclusionThe sharp increase in the estimated cancer incidence and mortality predicted over the next decades in the region requires workforce and financial planning for the healthcare systems in the constituent countries, alongside broader strengthening of national cancer prevention and control efforts.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedChildFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMiddle EastYoung AdultcancerepidemiologyGulf Cooperation Councilincidencemortalitypattern

Identifiers

PMID39279725
PMCPMC11403302

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.