Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39277600›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Epidemiological characteristics and transmission dynamics of dengue fever in China.

Haobo Ni, Xiaoyan Cai, Jiarong Ren, Tingting Dai, Jiayi Zhou, Jiumin Lin, Li Wang, Lingxi Wang, Sen Pei, Yunchong Yao and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Dengue and severe dengue.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2025
    Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Haobo Ni *Department of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Xiaoyan Cai *Department of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0009-1368-9218
Jiarong Ren *National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4115-1206
Tingting DaiDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0005-0312-7546
Jiayi ZhouDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0008-5295-9287
Jiumin LinDepartment of Hepatology and Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9915-2706
Li WangDepartment of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6037-1426
Lingxi WangDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0000-9233-5876
Sen PeiDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7072-2995
Yunchong YaoDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0000-1250-1169
Ting XuDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.ORCID 0009-0002-7411-7669
Lina XiaoDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China.
Qiyong LiuNational Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China. liuqiyong@icdc.cn.ORCID 0000-0003-4066-7988
Xiaobo LiuNational Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China. liuxiaobo@icdc.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-0420-2529
Pi GuoDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, China. pguo@stu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-0990-6461

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

China has experienced successive waves of dengue epidemics over the past decade. Nationwide data on 95,339 dengue cases, 89 surveillance sites for mosquito density and population mobility between 337 cities during 2013-20 were extracted. Weekly dengue time series including time trends and harmonic terms were fitted using seasonal regression models, and the amplitude and peak timing of the annual and semiannual cycles were estimated. A data-driven model-inference approach was used to simulate the epidemic at city-scale and estimate time-evolving epidemiological parameters. We found that the geographical distribution of dengue cases was expanding, and the main imported areas as well as external sources of imported cases changed. Dengue cases were predominantly concentrated in southern China and it exhibited an annual peak of activity, typically peaking in September. The annual amplitude of dengue epidemic varied with latitude (F = 19.62, P = 0.0001), mainly characterizing by large in southern cities and small in northern cities. The effective reproduction number R

Indexed as

DengueSeasonsAedesAnimalsChinaCitiesDengue VirusEpidemicsHumansMosquito Vectors

Identifiers

PMID39277600
PMCPMC11401889

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.