Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39272757›Full record

ArticleDiagnostics (Basel, Switzerland)2024

Predicting Mortality in Sepsis: The Role of Dynamic Biomarker Changes and Clinical Scores-A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Norberth-Istvan Varga, Adela-Teodora Benea, Madalina-Ianca Suba, Adrian Vasile Bota, Cecilia Roberta Avram, Casiana Boru, Tiberiu Liviu Dragomir, Mirandolina Prisca, Tanasescu Sonia, Monica Susan and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. ASP-COMPLEX: redefining antimicrobial stewardship to improve outcomes in high-risk patients with severe infections.Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Norberth-Istvan VargaDoctoral School, Department of General Medicine, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.
Adela-Teodora BeneaDoctoral School, Department of General Medicine, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.
Madalina-Ianca SubaDoctoral School, Department of General Medicine, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.ORCID 0009-0008-8387-7700
Adrian Vasile BotaMultidisciplinary Doctoral School, "Vasile Goldis" Western University, 310419 Arad, Romania.
Cecilia Roberta AvramDepartment of Residential Training and Post-University Courses, "Vasile Goldis" Western University, 310414 Arad, Romania.
Casiana BoruDepartment of Medicine, "Vasile Goldis" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 310414 Arad, Romania.
Tiberiu Liviu DragomirMedical Semiology II Discipline, Internal Medicine Department, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Eftimie Murgu Sq. No. 2, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.
Mirandolina PriscaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, "Vasile Goldis" Western University, 310414 Arad, Romania.
Tanasescu SoniaDepartment of Pediatrics, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Eftimie Murgu Sq. No. 2, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.
Monica SusanCentre for Preventive Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Eftimie Murgu Sq. No. 2, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.
Florin George HorhatMultidisciplinary Research Center on Antimicrobial Resistance (MULTI-REZ), Microbiology Department, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania.ORCID 0000-0001-6133-0204

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prognostic value of baseline inflammatory markers in sepsis remains controversial, with conflicting evidence regarding their association with mortality. The dynamic changes in these markers over time might offer additional insights into disease progression and patient outcomes.

methodsThis retrospective observational study included 138 patients with severe infections. The inflammatory biomarkers procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and lactate (LAC) were measured at three time points: upon hospital admission (baseline), approximately 24-48 h after admission (second measurement; M2), and 48-72 h after admission (third measurement; M3). The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. A Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the biomarker levels between the survivors and non-survivors. A Spearman's correlation was used to assess the relationships between the baseline parameters. A logistic regression and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were employed to evaluate the prognostic value of the baseline markers and their dynamic changes.

resultsThe baseline LAC and SOFA score were significantly associated with 30-day mortality. The percentage decrease in PCT, CRP, and LAC from the baseline to M3 emerged as strong predictors of survival, with the ROC curve analysis demonstrating superior discriminatory ability compared to the baseline values. CRP_Delta exhibited the highest AUC (0.903), followed by PCT_Delta (0.843) and LAC_Delta (0.703).

conclusionsThe dynamic changes in these inflammatory biomarkers, particularly PCT, CRP, and LAC, offer valuable prognostic information beyond their baseline levels in predicting 30-day mortality in severe infections. These findings highlight the importance of monitoring biomarker trends for early risk stratification and potential treatment guidance.

Indexed as

biomarkersCRPlactateprocalcitoninprognosissepsis

Identifiers

PMID39272757
PMCPMC11393859

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.