Risk factors for unplanned intensive care unit admission after esophagectomy: a retrospective cohort study of 628 patients with esophageal cancer.

Introduction: Esophagectomy patients who experience unplanned ICU admission (UIA) may experience a heavier economic burden and worse clinical outcomes than those who experience routine intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The aim of this study was to identify the risk factors for postoperative UIA in patients who underwent esophagectomy. Methods: We retrospectively included patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy. The characteristics of postoperative UIA were described, and univariable and multivariable analyses were performed based on the logistic regression model. Furthermore, a recursive partitioning analysis was adopted to stratify the patients according to the risk of UIA. Results: A total of 628 patients were included in our final analysis, among whom 57 (9.1%) had an UIA. The patients in the UIA cohort had a higher rate of in-hospital mortality (P<0.001), longer hospital stay (P<0.001), and higher associated costs (P<0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that hybrid/open esophagectomy (OR=4.366, 95% CI=2.142 to 8.897, P<0.001), operation time (OR=1.006, 95% CI=1.002 to 1.011, P=0.007), intraoperative blood transfusion (OR=3.118, 95% CI=1.249 to 7.784, P=0.015) and the prognostic nutrition index (PNI) (OR=0.779, 95% CI=0.724 to 0.838, P<0.001) were independently associated with UIA. Conclusions: We identified several critical independent perioperative risk factors that may increase the risk of UIA following esophagectomy, and the above risk factors should be the focus of attention to reduce the incidence of postoperative UIA.