Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39266020›Full record

ArticleBMJ open gastroenterology2024

Serum amyloid A for predicting prognosis in patients with newly diagnosed Crohn's disease.

Qia Chen, Xi Zhang, Yizhe Tie, Jianwu Zhang, Pinwei Huang, Yuxuan Xie, Liqian Zhang, Xueer Tang, Zhirong Zeng, Li Li and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open gastroenterology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Qia Chen *Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xi Zhang *Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yizhe Tie *Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Jianwu Zhang *Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Pinwei HuangZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Yuxuan XieZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Liqian ZhangGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xueer TangZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Zhirong ZengGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Li LiGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Minhu ChenGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Rirong ChenGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China chenrr29@mail.sysu.edu.cn zhshh3@mail.sysu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-8230-1995
Shenghong ZhangGastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China chenrr29@mail.sysu.edu.cn zhshh3@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveSerum amyloid A (SAA) was found to be positively correlated with the activity of Crohn's disease (CD); however, its prognostic value remains uncertain. Here, we examined its predictive ability in newly diagnosed CD and explored genetic association.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study included patients newly diagnosed as CD at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between June 2010 and March 2022. We employed receiver operating characteristic curve, Cox proportional hazard regression models and restricted cubic splines to investigate the prognostic performance of SAA for surgery and disease progression. To assess possible causality, a two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) of published genome-wide association study data was conducted.

resultsDuring 2187.6 person-years (median age, 28 years, 72.4% male), 87 surgery and 153 disease progression events were documented. A 100-unit increment in SAA level generated 14% higher risk for surgery (adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.14 (1.05-1.23), p=0.001) and 12% for disease progression (1.12 (1.05-1.19), p<0.001). Baseline SAA level ≥89.2 mg/L led to significantly elevated risks for surgery (2.08 (1.31-3.28), p=0.002) and disease progression (1.72 (1.22-2.41), p=0.002). Such associations were assessed as linear. Adding SAA into a scheduled model significantly improved its predictive performances for surgery and disease progression (p for net reclassification indexes and integrated discrimination indexes <0.001). Unfortunately, no genetic causality between SAA and CD was observed in MR analysis. Sensitivity analyses showed robust results.

conclusionAlthough causality was not found, baseline SAA level was an independent predictor of surgery and disease progression in newly diagnosed CD, and had additive benefit to existing prediction models.

Indexed as

BiomarkersCrohn DiseaseSerum Amyloid A ProteinAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveYoung AdultBiomarkersSerum Amyloid A ProteinCROHN'S COLITISGASTROINTESTINAL SURGERYINFLAMMATION

Identifiers

PMID39266020
PMCPMC11404264

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.