Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39259265›Full record

ArticleDrugs & aging2024

Prospective Monitoring of New Drugs in Older Adults with and without Frailty: Near-Real-Time Assessment of Effectiveness and Safety of Oral Anticoagulants in Medicare Data.

Darae Ko, Kueiyu Joshua Lin, Su Been Lee, Zhigang Lu, Susan Cheng, Sachin J Shah, Robert J Glynn, Dae Hyun Kim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drugs & aging, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Darae KoHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging Research, , Hebrew SeniorLife, 1200 Centre Street, Boston, MA, 02131, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1174-7535
Kueiyu Joshua LinHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Su Been LeeDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Zhigang LuDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Susan ChengDepartment of Cardiology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Sachin J ShahHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Robert J GlynnHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Dae Hyun KimHinda and Arthur Marcus Institute for Aging Research, , Hebrew SeniorLife, 1200 Centre Street, Boston, MA, 02131, USA. daehyunkim@hsl.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-7290-6838

Funding

Prospective Monitoring of Newly Approved Cardiovascular Drugs in Older Adults with FrailtyR01AG062713 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI KIM, DAE HYUN · 2019 to 2022
$2.8M
Individualizing Anticoagulant use in Older Adults with Atrial FibrillationK76AG074919 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI SHAH, SACHIN J · 2021 to 2025
$1.2M
Mid-Career Mentoring Award For Patient-Oriented Research in Frailty and Health OutcomesK24AG073527 · NIA · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI Dae Hyun Kim · 2022 to 2026
$862k
Risk-Guided Atrial Fibrillation Surveillance in Ischemic StrokeK23HL151903 · NHLBI · HEBREW REHABILITATION CENTER FOR AGED · PI KO, DARAE · 2021 to 2025
$822k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL151903NHLBI NIH HHS K23HL151903NIA NIH HHS K24 AG073527NIA NIH HHS K24AG073527NIA NIH HHS K76 AG074919NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062713NIA NIH HHS R01AG062713
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveProspective sequential analyses after a new drug approval allow proactive surveillance of new drugs. In the current study, we demonstrate feasibility of frailty-specific sequential analyses for dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban versus warfarin.

methodsWe partitioned Medicare data from 2011 to 2020 into datasets based on calendar year following the date of drug approval. Each calendar year of data was added sequentially for analysis. We used a new-user, active comparative design by comparing the initiators of dabigatran versus warfarin, rivaroxaban versus warfarin, and apixaban versus warfarin. Patients aged ≥ 65 years with atrial fibrillation without contraindication to the anticoagulants were included. Claims-based frailty index ≥ 0.25 was used to define frailty. The initiators of each direct oral anticoagulant were propensity-score matched to the initiators of warfarin within each frailty status. The effectiveness outcome was ischemic stroke or systemic thromboembolism, and the safety outcome was major bleeding. For each calendar year, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) from Cox proportional hazards models using all data available up to that year.

resultsAs an example of the results, in the 2020 dataset, compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with a reduced risk of ischemic stroke or systemic thromboembolism (frail: HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.63-0.85; non-frail: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.59-0.72) and major bleeding (frail: HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.57-0.69; non-frail: HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.56-0.63) in both frail and non-frail patients. We found evidence for apixaban's effectiveness and safety within 1-2 years after the drug approval in frail older patients.

conclusionOur frailty-specific sequential analyses can be applied to future near-real-time monitoring of newly approved drugs.

Indexed as

AnticoagulantsFrailtyMedicareAdministration, OralAgedAged, 80 and overAtrial FibrillationDabigatranFemaleFrail ElderlyHemorrhageHumansMaleProspective StudiesPyrazolesPyridonesAnticoagulantsapixabanDabigatranPyrazolesPyridonesRivaroxabanWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID39259265
PMCPMC11910195

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.