Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39259138›Full record

ArticleDemography2024

Changes in Family Structure and Increasing Care Gaps in the United States, 2015-2050.

Huijing Wu, Rachel Margolis, Ashton Verdery, Sarah E Patterson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Demography, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Huijing WuInstitute of European and American Studies, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-9661-7472
Rachel MargolisDepartment of Sociology, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3331-591X
Ashton VerderyDepartment of Sociology and Criminology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1005-7580
Sarah E PattersonInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5040-7576

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
TRAINING IN THE DEMOGRAPHY OF AGINGT32AG000221 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Sarah A. Burgard · 1992 to 2026
$15.3M
The Population Research Institute: Development CoreP2CHD041025 · NICHD · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI Brian Thiede · 2016 to 2026
$9.0M
Scientific/Technical CoreP2CHD041028 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Sarah A. Burgard · 2017 to 2026
$6.5M
Crossnational Comparisons of Kinlessness and Health: Past, Present and FutureR01AG060949 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY, THE · PI VERDERY, ASHTON MICHAEL · 2019 to 2023
$1.6M
Caregiving, Complex Family and Kinship Ties, and Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD)R00AG073473 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Sarah Elizabeth Patterson · 2024 to 2026
$742k
Caregiving, Complex Family and Kinship Ties, and Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD)K99AG073473 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI PATTERSON, SARAH ELIZABETH · 2022 to 2023
$249k
NIA NIH HHS K99 AG073473NIA NIH HHS R00 AG073473NIA NIH HHS R01 AG060949NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000221NIA NIH HHS U01 AG009740NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041025NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041028
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Research on caregiving in the United States has not clearly identified the scope of the gap between care needed and care received and the changes implied by ongoing and anticipated shifts in family structure. This article examines the magnitude of contemporary gaps in care among older adults in the United States and how they are likely to evolve through 2050. We use data from the Health and Retirement Study (1998-2014) to estimate care gaps, operationalized as having difficulties with activities of daily living (ADLs) or instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) but not receiving care. We also estimate variation in care gaps by family structure. Then, we use data from demographic microsimulation to explore the implications of demographic and family changes for the evolution of care gaps. We establish that care gaps are common, with 13% and 5% of adults aged 50 or older reporting a care gap for ADLs and IADLs, respectively. Next, we find that adults with neither partners nor children have the highest care gap rates. Last, we project that the number of older adults with care gaps will increase by more than 30% between 2015 and 2050-twice the rate of population growth. These results provide a benchmark for understanding the scope of the potential problem and considering how care gaps can be filled.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingFamily CharacteristicsAgedAged, 80 and overCaregiversFamily StructureFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSociodemographic FactorsSocioeconomic FactorsUnited StatesAgingCaregivingDisabilityKinless

Identifiers

PMID39259138
PMCPMC11629368

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.