Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39258433›Full record

ArticleChinese medical journal2025

Needs for rehabilitation in China: Estimates based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019.

Tian Tian, Lin Zhu, Qingzhen Fu, Shiheng Tan, Yukun Cao, Ding Zhang, Mingxue Wang, Ting Zheng, Lijing Gao, Daria Volontovich and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chinese medical journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Tian TianDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Lin ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Qingzhen FuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Shiheng TanDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Yukun CaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Ding ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Mingxue WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Ting ZhengDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Lijing GaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Daria VolontovichDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Yongchen WangDepartment of General Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Jinming ZhangDepartment of Rehabilitation Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150007, China.
Zhimei JiangHeilongjiang Cerebral Palsy Treatment and Management Center, Jiamusi University, Jiamusi, Heilongjiang 154000, China.
Hongbin QiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Jiamusi University, Jiamusi, Heilongjiang 154007, China.
Fan WangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.
Yashuang ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150081, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs an essential part of health services, rehabilitation is of great significance to improve the health and quality of life of the whole population. Accelerating aging calls for a significant expansion of rehabilitation services in China, but rehabilitation needs remain unclear. We conducted the study to explore the rehabilitation needs in China and project the trend of rehabilitation needs from 2020 to 2034.

methodsThe data of health conditions that might potentially benefit from rehabilitation were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to quantify the trends of the age-standardized rates. Projections of rehabilitation needs were made until 2034 using Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis (BAPC).

resultsApproximately 460 million persons (33.3% of the total population) need rehabilitation in China, contributing to 63 million years lived with disabilities (YLDs) in 2019. The number of prevalent cases that need rehabilitation increased from around 268 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257-282) million in 1990 to almost 460 (95% UI: 443-479) million in 2019, representing an increase of 71.3%. The highest contribution to the need for rehabilitation was musculoskeletal disorders with about 322 (95% UI: 302-343) million persons in seven aggregate disease and injury categories, and hearing loss with over 95 (95% UI: 84-107) million people among 25 health conditions. Based on the projection results, there will be almost 636 million people (45% of the total population) needing rehabilitation services in China by 2034, representing an increase of 38.3%. The rehabilitation needs of neoplasms, cardiovascular diseases, and neurological disorders are expected to increase significantly from 2019 to 2034, with increases of 102.3%, 88.8% and 73.2%, respectively.

conclusionsThe need for rehabilitation in China substantially increased over the last 30 years. It is predicted that over two in five people will require rehabilitation by 2034, thus suggesting the need to develop rehabilitation services that meet individuals' rehabilitation needs.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseAgedBayes TheoremChinaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMusculoskeletal DiseasesQuality of LifeRehabilitation

Identifiers

PMID39258433
PMCPMC11717514

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.