Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39256684›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2024

Prediction of poststroke independent walking using machine learning: a retrospective study.

Zhiqing Tang, Wenlong Su, Tianhao Liu, Haitao Lu, Ying Liu, Hui Li, Kaiyue Han, Md Moneruzzaman, Junzi Long, Xingxing Liao and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Zhiqing TangSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Wenlong SuSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Tianhao LiuSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Haitao LuSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Ying LiuSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Hui LiBeijing Bo'ai Hospital, China Rehabilitation Research Center, Beijing, China.
Kaiyue HanSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Md MoneruzzamanSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Junzi LongSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Xingxing LiaoSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Xiaonian ZhangSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Lei ShanSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China.
Hao ZhangSchool of Rehabilitation, Capital Medical University, 10 Jiaomen North Road, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100068, China. crrczh2020@163.com.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8193-4101

Funding

the general program of China Rehabilitation Research Center 2023ZX-14
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurately predicting the walking independence of stroke patients is important. Our objective was to determine and compare the performance of logistic regression (LR) and three machine learning models (eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Random Forest (RF)) in predicting walking independence at discharge in stroke patients, as well as to explore the variables that predict prognosis.

methods778 (80% for the training set and 20% for the test set) stroke patients admitted to China Rehabilitation Research Center between February 2020 and January 2023 were retrospectively included. The training set was used for training models. The test set was used to validate and compare the performance of the four models in terms of area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and F1 score.

resultsAmong the three ML models, the AUC of the XGBoost model is significantly higher than that of the SVM and RF models (P < 0.001, P = 0.024, respectively). There was no significant difference in the AUCs between the XGBoost model and the LR model (0.891 vs. 0.880, P = 0.560). The XGBoost model demonstrated superior accuracy (87.82% vs. 86.54%), sensitivity (50.00% vs. 39.39%), PPV (73.68% vs. 73.33%), NPV (89.78% vs. 87.94%), and F1 score (59.57% vs. 51.16%), with only slightly lower specificity (96.09% vs. 96.88%). Together, the XGBoost model and the stepwise LR model identified age, FMA-LE at admission, FAC at admission, and lower limb spasticity as key factors influencing independent walking.

conclusionOverall, the XGBoost model performed best in predicting independent walking after stroke. The XGBoost and LR models together confirm that age, admission FMA-LE, admission FAC, and lower extremity spasticity are the key factors influencing independent walking in stroke patients at hospital discharge.

trial registrationNot applicable.

Indexed as

Machine LearningStrokeStroke RehabilitationWalkingAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSupport Vector MachineeXtreme gradient boostingIndependent walkingLogistic regressionMachine learningStroke

Identifiers

PMID39256684
PMCPMC11385990

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.