Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39253733›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2024

Prognostic value of Alzheimer's disease plasma biomarkers in the oldest-old: a prospective primary care-based study.

Pamela V Martino-Adami, Madhurima Chatterjee, Luca Kleineidam, Siegfried Weyerer, Horst Bickel, Birgitt Wiese, Steffi G Riedel-Heller, Martin Scherer, Kaj Blennow, Henrik Zetterberg and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Exploring blood-based biomarkers in late-life depression: Correlates of psychotherapeutic treatment outcomes.European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Pamela V Martino-AdamiDivision of Neurogenetics and Molecular Psychiatry, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.
Madhurima ChatterjeeGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Venusberg-Campus 1, 53127, Bonn, Germany.
Luca KleineidamGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Venusberg-Campus 1, 53127, Bonn, Germany.
Siegfried WeyererMedical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Germany.
Horst BickelDepartment of Psychiatry, Technical University of Munich, Germany.
Birgitt WieseInstitute of General Practice, Hannover Medical School, Germany.
Steffi G Riedel-HellerInstitute of Social Medicine, Occupational Health and Public Health, University of Leipzig, Germany.
Martin SchererDepartment of Primary Medical Care, Center for Psychosocial Medicine, University Medical Center, Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany.
Kaj BlennowDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Henrik ZetterbergDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, The Sahlgrenska Academy at the University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Michael WagnerGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Venusberg-Campus 1, 53127, Bonn, Germany.
Anja SchneiderGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Venusberg-Campus 1, 53127, Bonn, Germany.
Alfredo RamirezDivision of Neurogenetics and Molecular Psychiatry, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937, Cologne, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Blood-based biomarkers offer a promising, less invasive, and more cost-effective alternative for Alzheimer's disease screening compared to cerebrospinal fluid or imaging biomarkers. However, they have been extensively studied only in memory clinic-based cohorts. We aimed to validate them in a more heterogeneous, older patient population from primary care. Methods: We measured plasma Aβ42/Aβ40, P-tau181, NfL, and GFAP in 1007 individuals without dementia, aged 79-94 years, from the longitudinal, primary care-based German AgeCoDe study. We assessed the association with cognitive decline, disease progression, and the capacity to predict future dementia of the Alzheimer's type (DAT). We also evaluated biomarker dynamics in 305 individuals with a follow-up sample (∼8 years later). Findings: Higher levels of P-tau181 (HR = 1.32 [95% CI: 1.17-1.51]), NfL (HR = 1.19 [95% CI: 1.03-1.36]), and GFAP (HR = 1.36 [95% CI: 1.22-1.52]), and a lower Aβ42/Aβ40 ratio (HR = 0.80 [95% CI: 0.68-0.95]) were associated with an increased risk of progressing to clinically-diagnosed DAT. Additionally, higher levels of P-tau181 (β = -0.49 [95% CI: -0.71 to 0.26]), NfL (β = -0.29 [95% CI: -0.52 to 0.06]), and GFAP (β = -0.60 [95% CI: -0.83 to 0.38]) were linked to faster cognitive decline. A two-step DAT prediction strategy combining initial MMSE with biomarkers improved the identification of individuals in the prodromal stage for potential treatment eligibility. Biomarker levels changed over time, with increases in P-tau181 (β = 0.19 [95% CI: 0.14-0.25]), NfL (β = 2.88 [95% CI: 2.18-3.59]), and GFAP (β = 8.23 [95% CI: 6.71-9.75]). NfL (β = 2.47 [95% CI: 1.04-3.89]) and GFAP (β = 4.45 [95% CI: 1.38-7.51]) exhibited a faster increase in individuals progressing to DAT. Interpretation: Evaluating plasma biomarkers, alongside brief cognitive assessments, might enhance the precision of risk assessment for DAT progression in primary care. Funding: Alzheimer Forschung Initiative, Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung.

Indexed as

Alzheimer's diseaseCognitive impairmentDisease prognosisOldest-old populationPlasma biomarkersPrimary care

Identifiers

PMID39253733
PMCPMC11381503

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.