ArticleHeliyon2024
Modelling the role of tourism in the spread of HIV: A case study from Malaysia.
Article in Heliyon, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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3 authors.
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Abstract
This study aimed to assess the role of tourism in the spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) using Malaysian epidemiological data on HIV and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) incidence from 1986 to 2004. A population-level mathematical model was developed with the following compartments: the population susceptible to HIV infection, the clinically confirmed HIV-positive population, the population diagnosed with AIDS, and the tourist population. Additionally, newborns infected with HIV were considered. Sensitivity analyses and variations in fixed parameter values were used to explore the effect of changes to various parameter values on HIV incidence in the model. It was determined that variations in the rate of HIV-positive inbound tourist entries and the rate of foreign tourist exits (i.e., the duration of time tourists spent in Malaysia) significantly impacted the predicted incidence of HIV and AIDS in Malaysia. The model's fit to observed HIV and AIDS incidence was evaluated, resulting in adjusted R
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