Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39246719›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2024

Incidence of new onset type 2 diabetes in adults living with obesity treated with tirzepatide or semaglutide: real world evidence from an international retrospective cohort study.

Matthew Anson, Alex E Henney, Nicholas Broadwell, Sizheng S Zhao, Gema H Ibarburu, Gregory Y H Lip, John P H Wilding, Daniel J Cuthbertson, Uazman Alam

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  9. Management of obesity in advanced chronic liver disease.JHEP reports : innovation in hepatology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Matthew AnsonDiabetes & Endocrinology Research, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Alex E HenneyDiabetes & Endocrinology Research, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Nicholas BroadwellManx Care, Isle of Man, UK.
Sizheng S ZhaoCentre for Musculoskeletal Research, Division of Musculoskeletal and Dermatological Science, School of Biological Sciences, Faculty of Biological Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK.
Gema H IbarburuTriNetX LLC, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.
John P H WildingDiabetes & Endocrinology Research, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Daniel J CuthbertsonDiabetes & Endocrinology Research, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Uazman AlamDiabetes & Endocrinology Research, Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences, University of Liverpool and Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Tirzepatide, a novel dual agonist of glucagon-like-peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP), has demonstrated greater magnitude of weight loss compared to semaglutide in a phase 3 clinical trial. However, the effect of tirzepatide on incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in individuals with overweight and obesity, and the effect on major adverse cardiovascular outcomes in individuals with pre-existing T2D, remains unknown. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of anonymised electronic medical records using the TriNetX network (TriNetX LLC, Cambridge, MA, USA) a global federated database. The data used in this study was collected on 5th June 2024. Two cohorts of individuals were generated: Findings: The study population without T2D consisted of 13,846 individuals, equally split between tirzepatide and semaglutide users. Tirzepatide was associated with both lower risk for incident T2D (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.92, p < 0.001) and greater weight loss (-7.7 kg, [95% CI -6.8, -8.5 kg], p < 0.001), compared to semaglutide (-4.8 kg, [95% CI -3.9, -5.6 kg], p < 0.001). In individuals with pre-existing T2D (n = 8446), tirzepatide was associated with lower risk of the composite outcome (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.38-0.76, p < 0.001), cerebral infarction (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.24-0.84, p = 0.010) and all-cause mortality (HR 0.33, 95% CI 0.15-0.73, p = 0.004) compared to semaglutide. Interpretation: Tirzepatide is associated with significantly reduced risk of developing T2D and major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals living with obesity and T2D respectively. Randomised controlled trials investigating the utility of dual incretin agonists in the primary prevention of T2D and cardiovascular disease in higher risk populations are now required. Funding: Nil.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular outcomesObesitySemaglutideTirzepatideType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39246719
PMCPMC11377141

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.