The health legacy of coal mining: Analysis of mortality rates over time in England and Wales (1981-2019).

Background: - Coal mining areas in the UK continue to suffer worse health outcomes despite the industry disappearing by the early 1990s. Unemployment and deprivation are cited as key explanations. However, as the health effects of hazardous working environments continue after the industry's closure, it is unclear to what extent this ongoing health deficit is due to the legacy health effect of coal mining versus socioeconomic factors, including unemployment and deprivation. Methods: - I isolate the legacy health effect of coal mining using a matching research design. Coal mining areas are paired with non-mining areas using propensity score matching. This creates a sample of socioeconomically similar local authority districts in England and Wales. I estimate the effect of coal mining on male and female age-standardised period mortality rates for 1981-2019, analysing temporal dynamics and testing for convergence. Results: - I find an initial coal mining effect in 1981 on male (female) mortality rates of 122.6 (66.5) deaths per 100,000. This effect decreases by 91% (70%) during this period, indicating convergence in mortality rates. The timing of this convergence is consistent with that of the industry's closure, with higher convergence rates observed during the 1990s. Conclusions: - These results provide evidence for a legacy health effect on mortality from coal mining and convergence in mortality rates between 1981 and 2019. This effect is important when explaining the health deficit experienced by coal mining areas. Furthermore, as coal mining areas tend to be more deprived, these results also shed light on relevant mechanisms driving recent health inequality in the UK.