ArticleNature communications2024
Role of vector phenotypic plasticity in disease transmission as illustrated by the spread of dengue virus by Aedes albopictus.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Mapping one health surveillance and networks for vector-borne disease prevention and control in Europe - A scoping review.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Review
- Environmental and demographic determinants of Aedes albopictus seasonal activity in southern France: A modeling study.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Aedes albopictus and Dengue Transmission Risk in France Over the 21st Century.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Phenotypic plasticity of Nipah virus: An underappreciated driver of spillover risk.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2026Review
- A real-time mechanistic framework for early inference of chikungunya transmission and outbreak sizes in mainland France, 2025.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- The influence of larval temperature and nutrients on dog heartworm (Dirofilaria immitis (Spirurida: Onchocercidae)) transmission in Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) and Aedes triseriatus (Diptera: Culicidae).Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- When Few Mosquitoes Are Enough: Dengue outbreaks in non-endemic areas.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Surveillance and control efficacy of the Bergerac, France, 2025 chikungunya outbreak.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- MIReVTD, a minimum information standard for reporting vector trait data.GigaScience · 2026Article
- AedesTraits: A global dataset of temperature-dependent trait responses in Aedes mosquitoes.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Aedes albopictus Is Rapidly Invading Its Climatic Niche in France: Wider Implications for Biting Nuisance and Arbovirus Control in Western Europe.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Risk assessment and perspectives of local transmission of chikungunya and dengue in Italy, a European forerunner.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Carry-over effects in Culex species along a land use gradient with differences in microclimatic conditions.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Article
- A novel approach to quantify the optimal range and causal effect of rainfall on vector-borne diseases: a case study of dengue epidemics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Elevated developmental temperatures below the lethal limit reduce Aedes aegypti fertility.The Journal of experimental biology · 2025Article
- Metabarcoding for the Monitoring of the Microbiome and Parasitome of Medically Important Mosquito Species in Two Urban and Semi-urban Areas of South Korea.Current microbiology · 2025Article
- Modelling the Lodi, 2023 and Fano 2024, Italy Dengue Outbreaks: The Effects of Control Strategies and Environmental Extremes.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Article
- How (Eco)immunology can augment global EcoHealth programmes: opportunities, needs, and challenges.Discovery immunology · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The incidence of vector-borne disease is on the rise globally, with burdens increasing in endemic countries and outbreaks occurring in new locations. Effective mitigation and intervention strategies require models that accurately predict both spatial and temporal changes in disease dynamics, but this remains challenging due to the complex and interactive relationships between environmental variation and the vector traits that govern the transmission of vector-borne diseases. Predictions of disease risk in the literature typically assume that vector traits vary instantaneously and independently of population density, and therefore do not capture the delayed response of these same traits to past biotic and abiotic environments. We argue here that to produce accurate predictions of disease risk it is necessary to account for environmentally driven and delayed instances of phenotypic plasticity. To show this, we develop a stage and phenotypically structured model for the invasive mosquito vector, Aedes albopictus, and dengue, the second most prevalent human vector-borne disease worldwide. We find that environmental variation drives a dynamic phenotypic structure in the mosquito population, which accurately predicts global patterns of mosquito trait-abundance dynamics. In turn, this interacts with disease transmission to capture historic dengue outbreaks. By comparing the model to a suite of simpler models, we reveal that it is the delayed phenotypic structure that is critical for accurate prediction. Consequently, the incorporation of vector trait relationships into transmission models is critical to improvement of early warning systems that inform mitigation and control strategies.
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