Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39239345›Full record

ArticleJACC. CardioOncology2024

Predictive Performance of Cardiovascular Risk Scores in Cancer Survivors From the UK Biobank.

Celeste McCracken, Dorina-Gabriela Condurache, Liliana Szabo, Hussein Elghazaly, Fiona M Walter, Adam J Mead, Ronjon Chakraverty, Nicholas C Harvey, Charlotte H Manisty, Steffen E Petersen and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JACC. CardioOncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Risk-guided cardioprotection in cardio-oncology.Nature cardiovascular research · 2026
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Multidimensional nomogram for prediction of cardiovascular disease risk in cancer survivors.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
    Article
  9. The B-SCancers · 2025
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Celeste McCrackenDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Dorina-Gabriela ConduracheBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom.
Liliana SzaboBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom.
Hussein ElghazalyDepartment of Medicine, Imperial College London and Imperial College NHS Trust, South Kensington, London, United Kingdom.
Fiona M WalterWolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London, United Kingdom.
Adam J MeadMedical Research Council Weatherall Institute of Molecular Medicine, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Ronjon ChakravertyMedical Research Council Weatherall Institute of Molecular Medicine, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Nicholas C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Charlotte H ManistyBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom.
Steffen E PetersenBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom.
Stefan NeubauerDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Zahra Raisi-EstabraghBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_21003Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1015Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/2
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Cardiovascular preventive strategies are guided by risk scores with unknown validity in cancer cohorts. Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of 7 established cardiovascular risk scores in cancer survivors from the UK Biobank. Methods: The predictive performance of QRISK3, Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2)/Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation for Older Persons (SCORE-OP), Framingham Risk Score, Pooled Cohort equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF), CHARGE-AF, QStroke, and CHA Results: The analysis included 31,534 cancer survivors and 126,136 covariate-matched controls. Risk score distributions were near identical in cases and controls. Participants with any cancer had a significantly higher incidence of all cardiovascular outcomes than matched controls. Performance metrics were significantly worse for all risk scores in cancer cases than in matched controls. The most notable differences were among participants with a history of hematologic malignancies who had significantly higher outcome rates and poorer risk score performance than their matched controls. The performance of risk scores for predicting stroke in participants with brain/central nervous system cancer was very poor, with predictive accuracy more than 30% lower than noncancer controls. Conclusions: Existing cardiovascular risk scores have significantly worse predictive accuracy in cancer survivors compared with noncancer comparators, leading to an underestimation of risk in this cohort.

Indexed as

cancer survivorscardio-oncologycardiovascular risk scorecohort studiespreventive medicine

Identifiers

PMID39239345
PMCPMC11372025

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.